2014 World Cup Betting: Argentina vs. Iran Picks & Odds

Steven Suarez

Thursday, June 19, 2014 12:36 PM UTC

Thursday, Jun. 19, 2014 12:36 PM UTC

Messi and company survived a tough test from Bosnia in their World Cup opener, and things should be much easier against Iran this weekend. We've done our homework on this showdown, and have decided on our best soccer betting value pick.

Odds Overview
And so here we have the biggest mismatch in terms of the soccer betting odds that we've seen in the World Cup so far. Argentina is a massive favorite in a wide range of -800 and -900, which obviously offers up little value to the general public.

If, for some reason, you believe Iran can shock the world, you can find a tidy price of +2500 on them to win, with a draw also seemingly out of the question at +900.

Coming in, the Argentinians knew it wouldn't be a walk in the park against Bosnia-Herzegovina. The top two teams in Group F battled it out last week, and it was the favorites that held on for a 2-1 victory and three massive points. 

It couldn't have been a better start for Argentina, who forced an own goal out of Sead Kolasinac in only the third minute. That set the tone for the Argentinians, who then added to their lead behind the magic left foot of Lionel Messi, who scored a terrific solo goal in the 65th minute.

Bosnia pegged one back late, but couldn't find the back of the net again, leading to a hugely important win for one of the top overall favorites at the World Cup. They're in pole position in Group F now, and will be loving their chances of easing past Iran. 

As we expected, Argentina looked threatening almost every time they attacked, with Messi operating mostly through the middle, and getting help from Sergio Aguero. Angel Di Maria was also dangerous, with Gonzalo Higuain also making a difference off the bench. Will we see any changes to the starting XI from Alejandro Sabella?

The most boring match of the World Cup so far? That would have to be Iran's meeting with Nigeria, which ended in a 0-0 draw. We may have been on the money with our recommended soccer picks for that match, but that didn't make it any easier to watch. It was clear from the start that both teams were playing it relatively safe in hopes of getting at least a point to start off their campaigns, and it worked. 

The only trouble is that now Iran has to play the best team in the group in what will essentially be an away match. We know Argentina will be representing a hefty portion of that crowd in the Estadio Mineirao come Saturday. Iran opted for a 4-2-3-1 formation in their opener, with Teymourian and captain Neknounam acting as the holding midfielders and Heydari, Dejagah and Hajsafi the three attacking midfielders. Ghoochannejhad was the lone striker. And after holding Nigeria without a goal, we find it unlikely we'll see any changes to the starting XI, with Iran hoping they can keep Argentina at bay for as long as humanly possible

World Cup Prediction 
Though an immediate break-through, like what happened against Bosnia, may not be in the cards for Argentina, ultimately it's hard not to believe the favorites won't find their way through eventually. Assuming they do get that first goal, it's going to be all over for Iran, who are going to park the bus in a major way to start this match. The flood gates will likely open if they let a goal past, with the underdogs needing a result to stay alive in the group, and the mighty dangerous Argentinians would be ready to exploit a lot more space when attacking. 

In short, this should be a one-sided affair and one we believe Argentina, with a loud crowd behind them once more and Messi causing havoc, will dominate. When completing your soccer picks, consider adding the favorites to win by two or more goals to get better bang for your buck.

Free Soccer Pick: Argentina 4 Iran 0

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