Mayweather's Style Makes Boxing Props the Right Pick vs. Berto

Jason Lake

Wednesday, August 12, 2015 12:45 PM GMT

Wednesday, Aug. 12, 2015 12:45 PM GMT

The boxing odds are covered in chalk for next month's Floyd Mayweather-Andre Berto fight. But if you're looking for value, Mayweather's defensive style is perfect for props.

We knew this was going to happen. The early boxing lines from across the pond had Floyd Mayweather pegged as a ginormous –10000 favorite for his Sept. 12 bout with Andre Berto. Now we're seeing those five figures pop up on our official boxing odds board, although –3000 appears to be the norm.

It might take even higher prices than that to keep even the sharpest bettors from unloading on the Champ. But why risk all that chalk when you can head to the props market and take Mayweather at –230 to win by decision? His boxing style is well-suited for the task; each of Mayweather's last six fights ended in a decision victory, and nine of his last 11.

 

We're out of Punch
In case you need a refresher on Mayweather's suffocating defensive style, just check out (if you dare) the footage from his so-called Fight of the Century against Manny Pacquiao. There were some occasions where Pacquiao was able to land his signature lightning-fast combinations, but for the vast majority of the bout, Mayweather was either on his bike or sticking to Pac-Man like oatmeal to your ribs.

On offense, Mayweather was even more defensive. He rarely bothered throwing more than one punch at a time, mostly jabs, but he landed with enough accuracy to beat Pacquiao hands-down. Mayweather scored 148 punches (34 percent) in total, while Pacquiao connected just 81 times (19 percent). It was the challenger's least prolific output ever in a 12-round match. And fight fans were left even more frustrated than Pacquiao was.

 

Hold Me Closer, Tiny Boxer
Mayweather doesn't care about earning points for style. Time and time again, he's bragged to reporters about how little punishment he's taken in the ring, and how much money he's made by elongating his career. Mayweather doesn't brag as much about fighting lesser opponents like Berto, but he doesn't shy away from talking about it, either. It's all about the Benjamins.

Which is fine for us – it makes Mayweather that much more predictable. And even if Berto isn't anywhere close to Mayweather's level, he's only been knocked out once, falling to Jesus Soto Karass by TKO in the 12th round of their 2013 bout. Berto has shown the ability to take a punch, and he's not afraid to drag a fight out by holding and clinching, either.

We'll be looking at this matchup again as we get closer to Sept. 12, but to recap, is there any reason to risk putting Mayweather in your boxing picks at –10000? You might as well add a little more chalk and bet NO (–12000) for this fight ending in a draw. That's the best price available at 5Dimes as we go to press. Or you could split the difference and go with NO (–5210) for Berto winning within the distance. As they say, there are many ways to skin a cat.

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