Make the East Leading DC United Your Soccer Pick Against NYCFC

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, August 11, 2015 6:05 PM GMT

Tuesday, Aug. 11, 2015 6:05 PM GMT

David Villa, Frank Lampard, Andrea Pirlo and NYCFC welcome Eastern Conference leaders DC United to Yankee Stadium for the first time in this MLS Week 24 game on Thursday night from the Bronx. 

Odds Overview
DC United FC at NYCFC (MLS Live, YES Network, Fox Sports GO (USA); Sky Sports 1/HD, Sky Go UK, SKY GO Extra (UK): 7 p.m. ET/4 p.m. PT)

The house that Ruth built, Yankee Stadium, in the Bronx, New York, is the site of this first-ever meeting between host NYCFC (6-6-11, 31 GF-36 GA) and DC United (13-5-7, 34 GF-26 GA) in this fun MLS Week 24 Eastern Conference matchup on Thursday night. Odds makers here have made visitors DC United slight +150 favorites here with underdog hosts NYCFC priced at +175 and the Draw set at +240 (BetVictor). The Total Goals is 2½ with the Over vigorish set at -120 and the Under at +100. (BetVictor). Some Props odds for this fixture from The Big Apple: Both Teams To Score: Yes -150, No +114 (Boylesports); To Win To Nil: NYCFC +380, DC United +425 (Ladbrokes); and, Draw No Bet: NYCFC +100, DC United -120 (BetVictor).

 

DC United
Eastern Conference leaders DC United (3-2-6 Away, 6 GF-10 GA, 44 points) and Head Coach Ben Olsen have led this conference for most of the season, and Defense (26 Goals Allowed) is a big part of the reason why, but with starting GK Bill Hamid being out for 4-6 weeks after having surgery on both a Hand and a Knee and Chris Pontius (2 goals), Sean Franklin (1 goal) and Michael Farfan also injured, what was once an 11-point lead in the East has now shrunk some. In their last game, DC United has a Shakespearean story develop as the Montreal Impact outshot DCU (W3), 25-1 in GK Hamid’s return, only to lose 1-0 to the Eastern Conference leaders on a Chris Rolfe goal 13 minutes in. On the attack, DCU is led by the aforementioned Rolfe (9 goals), Jairo Arrieta (5 goals), Fabián Espíndola (3 goals), Perry Kitchen (3 goals), Conor Doyle (1 goal), Bobby Boswell (1 goalghas), Luis Silva (1 goal), Nick Deleon (1 goal), Alvaro Saborio, Steve Birnbaum (1 goal) and Kofi Opare (1 goal) and DC United are the Oddsmakers favorites to win MLS Cup (+350, BetVictor) with all of the clubs in the Western Conference beating up on themselves.

 

New York City Football Club
First-year MLS club NYCFC (3-4-5 Home, 22 GF-23 GA) has developed on of the best Trends in the MLS this season—Home Overs. Why? The tight confines of Yankee Stadium is just not made for soccer and the bumpy and fast (baseball) surface—a combination of grass and (infield) dirt—which has resulted in a total of 29 goals in the L5 games (5.80 gpg) and has forced Oddsmakers to start hanging 3’s up instead of the usual 2½’s for NYCFC games played at Home. This is certainly not a venue designed for soccer. But here against a team whose games average just 1.45 gpg on the Road (16 total goals in 11 Road games), that Over Trend will be put to the test. In their second-to-last last game, NYCFC suffered a 3-2 loss to the Impact in Montreal on Saturday as former Chelsea FC star midfielder Frank Lampard finally made his MLS debut, while on Sunday in its last contest, NYCFC were blanked, 2-0 by the New York Red Bulls at Red Bull Arena in Harrison, New Jersey on Sunday, the first-year franchises third Loss to their city rivals in this Baby Big Apple Derby. On the attack, the 8th-place club in the East, NYCFC is led by Spanish sensation David Villa (13 goals), Tommy McNamara (4 goals), Patrick Mullins (4 goals), Mehdi Ballouchy (3 goals) and Mix Diskerud (3 goals) and besides Villa and Lampard, this club also features Italian Serie A legend Andrea Pirlo as a Designated Player. A solid push for a playoff berth needs to begin soon though, and with Villa, Lampard, Pirlo, McNamara, Mullins and Diskerud, NYCFC (33/1 to win MLS Cup, BetVictor) there is enough talent to make the postseason but whether or not there’s enough Time will ultimately be the big question for Head Coach Jason Kreis and his team.

 

Current Form, Conclusions
This will be the first meeting ever for NYCFC (Current Form—LWDLWL) and DC United (Current Form—WDLLWW), so there is absolutely no MLS history yet and the two sides will play later this season in DC (October 2). So, the site (Yankee Stadium) theoretically favors the hosts NYCFC, but this is Year One for this franchise and this is not a real soccer stadium or surface. Bumpy, jumpy, lumpy and tight leads to many easy chances and a nightmare for both Goalkeepers. Betting the Both Teams To Score prop in all NYCFC games at Yankee Stadium may also be a good idea, on top of always betting the Over when NYCFC hosts a game. The L5 scores should show why: NYCFC 2-MTL 3, NYCFC 5-3 ORL, NYCFC 4-4 TOR, NYCFC 1-4 RBNY, NYCFC 3-1 MTL. As mentioned, that’s 29 goals in the L5 games here and an average of 5.80 goals per game. You can see why the Totals here had to be upped a ½ goal. Chaos and disorder. Here, the reality is that no matter how low-scoring DCU games have been on the Road this season, 0 have been here at this site—Yankee Stadium—and the East leaders should get at least 2 goals in their first trip here while the hosts, with all those scorers and Hamid out for DC United, should get at least 1 of their own. For your soccer picks, take the over.

Predicted Final Score: NYCFC 1 DC United 3
MLS Pick: Over 2½ -120, DC United Draw No Bet -120, DC United +150 (BetVictor)

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