Indian Wells Betting: Wednesday's Top ATP & WTA Tennis Picks

João Mourato

Wednesday, March 16, 2016 12:32 PM UTC

Wednesday, Mar. 16, 2016 12:32 PM UTC

Join us on our daily coverage of the ATP & WTA Indian Wells event. Find out our top plays on both competitions for Day 8 and why you should place these bets.


Richard Gasquet (8) vs Marin Cilic (10)
The 2014 US Open champion, Marin Cilic, will be looking for his first Indian Wells quarterfinals appearance. It has been a solid tournament from Cilic, defeating Ryan Harrison and Leonardo Mayer, both by 6 – 3 6 – 4. The slower conditions in Indian Wells aren’t the best for Marin’s powerful serve, with the Croatian firing only an average of 0.58 aces per service game – while his average on Hard Court in the past 12 months is 0.91. Despite winning his last match against Mayer in straight sets, the Croatian received a medical timeout on his right knee and needed to play with his knee heavily strapped.

After missing the first weeks of the season due to a back injury, Richard Gasquet made his debut in 2016 at Montpellier, where he won the title. This is the first event on Hard Court that Richard is playing this season and after an easy debut against Nicolas Mahut, the French needed to recover from a set down on his 3rd round match against Alexandr Dolgopolov. This is Gasquet’s 6th presence on Indian Wells 4th round, but he was only able to reach the following stage in 2011.

These two players have already faced twice in the past, with Gasquet winning both matches in straight sets.

This is not a good match-up for Cilic, with the Croatian struggling to handle Gasquet’s solid baseline game. As we mentioned, the slower courts of Indian Wells aren’t the best for Cilic and it will be very hard for him to overcome the French on baseline rallies. With this in mind, we believe there is value on Gasquet to win this match and we suggest adding the French to your tennis picks.

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Free Tennis Picks: Richard Gasquet ML (-144)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle


Serena Williams (1) vs Simona Halep (5)
Serena Williams returned to Indian Wells last year after a 13-year boycott. The 1999 and 2001 champion was forced to retire from last year’s semifinal match against Simona Halep, but this time she’ll have another opportunity against this opponent. Serena played at very good level on her 3rd round match against Kateryna Bondarenko, dismissing the Ukrainian by 6 – 2 6 – 2 and ending the contest with 26 winners / 22 unforced errors. The American has also been serving at great level throughout the tournament, winning 84.0% of her service games.

We picked the defending champion, Simona Halep, to cover the spread on her 3rd round match against Barbora Zahlavova Strycova; however, the Czech retired when the Romanian was leading by 6 – 3 1 – 0. The courts in Indian Wells really suit Simona’s game style and after several poor losses, Halep is back to her best level. The slower conditions and higher bounce allow Simona to hit the ball early and use her favorite combination – cross-court followed by down-the line shots. The Romanian is also known for her defensive skills and it’s incredibly hard to hit winners against her on this event.

This will be the 8th career meeting between these two players, with Serena leading on h2h by 6 – 1. Simona’s single victory was achieved at the WTA Singapore Finals, but that win occurred at the group stage where Serena could afford losing the match.

They played twice last year, both on Hard Court, and Simona gave a very good fight losing only by 2 – 6 6 – 4 5 – 7 and 3 – 6 6 – 7. The same might happen here with Simona’s baseline consistency and shot placement skills creating much problems to the American. Serena should emerge victorious at the end, but our advice for this match is to take advantage of Halep’s tennis odds by placing a bet on her spread.

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Free Tennis Picks: Simona Halep +5 (-101)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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