Yankees vs. Royals: Hard To Argue Against Underdog Value Here

Joe Gavazzi

Monday, August 29, 2016 4:21 PM UTC

Monday, Aug. 29, 2016 4:21 PM UTC

With Friday’s incredibly easy victories on the Pittsburgh Steelers (+3) and OVER (64) in the Cal/Hawaii game, we run our record on this site to 15-8 (65%) in August.  We have built great momentum this past week.

NY Yankees (Pineda) vs. KC Royals (Gee)
As we enter the upcoming football season expecting to once again dominate the action using the unique methodology that has recorded huge profits for 37 consecutive years since 1979.  

We keep the winning action going with our “Dog of the Day” on the KC Royals. The defending champions remain the hottest team in baseball, plating 8 runs in the 6th last night in Boston for a 10-4 victory. Despite the late-night travel scenario, the Royals come to the ballpark today with the confidence of being defending champions and the momentum of their recent streak. Just one game in the win column separates these two in the standings, as the Royals trail Baltimore by 3 games and the Yankees trail Baltimore by 3 ½ games for the final Wild Card spot. Yet, there can be little doubt as to where the value lies in this game.  

Believing they were out of contention, the Yankees, at the August 1st trade deadline, divested themselves of their best hitter (Beltran) and their 2 best relievers (Chapman and Miller). The young players have responded admirably for the New Yorkers, who have gone 23-16 on the run, but just 15-14 of late. The Yankees enter tonight off a home loss by a score of 5-0 to Baltimore yesterday. To their credit, the New Yorkers have somehow pieced together the run, but still, stand just 30-34 when playing on the road. 

That is quite dichotomous to the Royals’ record of 40-21 at home. With 20 of their 32 remaining games on this field, one must believe that KC, with the pride of defending champions, will be in this race until the end. Momentum is clearly on their side, as they are 15-3 recently and 14-3 recently vs. opposing right-handers.  

The pitching matchup is not that bad either! Pineda is 6-10 with a 5.02 for the season. He comes off 5 1/3 IP vs. Seattle, in which he allowed 5 runs on 7 hits. Admittedly, he has pitched better than his poor start which saw Pineda post a 6.92 ERA in his first 10 starts. Gee has been in and out of the rotation the last month with a 4.21 ERA. Yet, he has been “clutch” with a .229 BAA with RISP. In 4 appearances vs. the Yankees, Gee has a solid 3.04 ERA. I invite you to put the MLB odds in your favor and join me in my MLB pick on the KC Royals tonight.


Free MLB Pick: Royals +122
Best Line Offered: at TheGreek

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