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Yankees vs. Orioles MLB Picks and Predictions

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Yankees vs. Orioles MLB Picks and Predictions
Starting pitcher Domingo German #55 of the New York Yankees. Jason Miller/Getty Images/AFP

Level in the standings and even in their series through the first two games, something has to give when the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles continue the set on a full Hump Day baseball betting card.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles

Wednesday, April 28, 2021 – 07:05 PM EDT at Oriole Park at Camden Yards

New York and Baltimore have each received a dominant start from one of their pitchers in splitting the first two contests. Matt Harvey delivered it for the Orioles in a 4-2 final on Monday, and Corey Kluber returned the favor in the Yankees’ 5-1 triumph Tuesday night. Both matchups stayed ‘under’ totals of 9 and 10, respectively.

Though down about 10 units on the season, New York has generally been an ATM in this rivalry the past few seasons. With Tuesday’s result, the Yankees have won 32 of the last 39 meetings, and 18 of the last 23 clashes at Camden Yards.

Pinstripes Poke 3 HR in Game 2 Dubya

We’ve yet to see numbers posted at top sportsbooks due to Baltimore not announcing its starting pitcher. Dean Kremer (0-1, 6.75) is expected to get the nod from Orioles skipper Brandon Hyde, while New York manager Aaron Boone turns to Domingo German (1-2, 6.23). The Yankees are expected to draw the chalk for a 58th consecutive meeting, a streak that dates to September 2017.

While Kluber’s best start of the season was the big story Tuesday, New York hitters also flexed their muscles at the plate. Aaron Judge, Kyle Higashioka and Giancarlo Stanton each went deep for the Yankees to give them 29 HR on the season, third behind the Angels (32) and A’s (30) in the AL.

German is making his third start of the season, and hoping it’s more like the last one instead of the first. The righthander was knocked around some in his season debut at home by Toronto, the Blue Jays popping a couple of homers and scoring three in German’s three frames. He was much better last Thursday in Cleveland, staying away from the long ball while working six and allowing two earned in a 6-3 Yankees win as small underdogs at most of the on the MLB odds.

Wednesday will be his first start against the Orioles since August 2019, and German has won both of his career outings at Camden Yards with a combined 11 IP and 4 ER allowed (3.27). No current Baltimore hitter has gone yard against German.

Dean Kremer #64 of the Baltimore Orioles pitches. Richard Rodriguez/Getty Images/AFP

Bullpen Has Been O’s Strength

Baltimore continues to lag behind most of the American League on offense, though the Orioles are still slightly ahead of New York in scoring. Keeping them from being all alone in the AL East cellar has been a bullpen led by closer Cesar Valdez, with help from Adam Plutko and Paul Fry.

Part of the package the Orioles received from the San Diego Padres in the Manny Machado deadline deal of 2018, Kremer climbs the hill for the first time in a little more than two weeks. The former UNLV star, he made his MLB debut last September with a dandy against the Yankees – 6 IP, 1 hit, 1 run, win – and followed with another nice effort in a no-decision at Yankee Stadium in his next start (5 IP, 1 ER).

Kremer didn’t have nearly the same luck when he faced the Yankees in New York in his 2021 debut about three weeks ago. Facing Gerrit Cole as a +245 underdog at YouWager (visit our YouWager Review), the 25-year-old walked four and allowed three runs in his three innings, one on a solo shot to the since-retired Jay Bruce.

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Umpire Notes, Charm City Forecast & A Free Pick

Junior Valentine – subbing for regular crew chief Gerry Davis in this series – will call balls and strikes in Wednesday’s contest. It’s his first plate assignment of 2021 after making his MLB debut last August. While serving as a roving fill-in last season, Valentine worked the dish four times, three of those contests going ‘over’ the totals. Wednesday will mark the first time either the Yankees or the Orioles have experienced his interpretation of the strike zone.

A muggy 85° is what the weatherman is calling for at the start of tonight’s matchup. Mostly cloudy skies are in the mix, but no rain, along with a 5-8 mph breeze from the southwest (out to right). In a case of two sluggish offenses against two pitchers who have each had some ugly outings early, my free MLB pick will be to consider the ‘under’ when lines are released.

Free MLB Pick: Under 9.5 (-108) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

NYY-BAL U/9.5(-108)
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*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.