Yankees vs. Blue Jays MLB Picks: Will New York Sweep Toronto?

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, August 16, 2015 12:52 PM UTC

Sunday, Aug. 16, 2015 12:52 PM UTC

Can the underdog Yankees complete a three game sweep today or will the Blue Jays be able to expose a young starting pitcher making only his third career MLB start? Find out what we are predicting here.

Yankees Out to Sweep the Blue Jays
The Yankees and Blue Jays will play in the finale of a three game series on Sunday. The first pitch at the Rogers Centre in Toronto is slated for 1:07 PM ET. The Yankees won each of the first two games by scores of 4-3 on Friday and 4-1 on Saturday. These AL East Rivals have gone 7-3 under the total this season during their ten encounters, and that includes going under the number in each of the last five. Despite losing the first two games of this series, Toronto has gone 7-3 versus New York in 2015.


Sunday's Pitching Matchup
The Yankees highly touted Luis Severino will be making just his third career MLB start on Sunday. Severino was extremely impressive in his first two outings, posting a 2.45 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and striking out 9 while walking just 1. Unfortunately he took the loss in both of those starts. The Yankees gave their young right-hander little offensive support, and were able to amass only a combined 5 runs scored in those two games.

Drew Hutchinson gets the starting assignment for Toronto on Sunday. The Blue Jays right-hander has struggled mightily on the road this season. However, when pitching at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Hutchinson has looked like a whole different pitcher. He’s gone 10-2 in his home team starts with a stellar 2.68 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. Hutchinson has faced the Yankees just once this season, and it came in early April at Yankee Stadium. He was very effective in that outing, allowing 1 earned run on 3 hits while walking 2 during a 6-1 Toronto win.


Yankees Regain Winning Form
The Yankees saw a recent 8.5 game lead over Toronto disappear in a very short time. The combination of them going 4-9 from 7/29 to 8/12, and Toronto going 14-1 during that exact time frame, resulted in New York being overtaken for the division lead. However, by virtue of winning the first two games of this weekend series, New York currently has a 1.5 game lead over second place Toronto, and assured themselves of returning home on Monday atop the AL East standings. The Yankees have held serve on the road this season, going a respectable 32-30 in that role.


Temporary Cool Down Period for Jays
As I just alluded to, despite losing the first two games of this series, Toronto has been the hottest team in the American League of late. That hot streak seems to have coincided with some bold moves by Toronto’s front office prior to the trade deadline. They added shortstop Troy Tulowitzki , outfielder Ben Revere, and former American League Cy Young winner David Price. Those acquisitions seemed to rejuvenate a Blue Jays team that vastly underachieved during the first half of the season. Toronto is a superb 39-22 (.639) at home in 2015.


Final Analysis
The old baseball handicapping theory implies that it’s very difficult to sweep a series against a good team, and especially so when attempting to do so on the road. I’m going to side with the home standing Blue Jays on Sunday for one of my MLB picks. According to the MLB betting odds at BetOnline provides me with the cheapest money line price.

MLB Picks: Play Toronto -133

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