The New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox play a rubber match of a heated three-game series on Sunday. Read on for our Yankees-Red Sox MLB picks for Sunday Night Baseball.
Boston and New York split a pair of 3-2 victories in the first two games of this series, leaving the Yankees with a 7-5 season series edge entering Sunday. And if you needed another reason to watch arguably the greatest rivalry in sports, Yankees slugger Aaron Judge and his 46 home runs remain on pace to break the franchise record of 61.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Info
Date: Sunday, Aug. 14, 7 p.m. ET
Location: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Weather: 63 degrees, 5% chance of precipitation, 10-mph winds SSW
Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds Analysis
The Yankees range from -134 moneyline favorites at FanDuel to -140 at DraftKings and Caesars. So far, the Yankees are popular favorites, as 82% of the tickets and 94% of the cash have backed New York's moneyline odds.
FanDuel is the only sportsbook offering a total of 9.5 runs, while all others are at 9. As of early Sunday morning, the Over had attracted 55% of the bets and 82% of the cash.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Projected Pitchers
RHP Jameson Taillon (11-2, 3.95 ERA, 1.14 WHIP) vs. RHP Michael Wacha (6-1, 2.69 ERA, 1.11 WHIP)
Taillon ended May with a 5-1 record and 2.49 ERA. However, it has been downhill for the Yankees righty, as he pitched to a 4.59 ERA in June and a 5.04 ERA in July. However, the good news is Taillon is coming off his longest outing since June 2 (spanning 13 starts), as he allowed three runs on three hits and three walks over seven innings in a win at the Seattle Mariners.
Wacha returns for his first start since June 28, as he has been on the injured list due to right shoulder inflammation. On Tuesday, Wacha made a rehab start for Double-A Portland and allowed two runs on four hits in 4 1/3 innings. He has allowed an opponent batting average of .215 across 13 major league starts.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Picks
Yankees vs. Red Sox ML Pick
Yankees ML (-134)
Not much has gone right for the Yankees lately, as they have lost eight of their last 10 games. However, a glass-half-full approach notes that five of their previous six losses were by one run.
New York's starting pitching ERA was 5.03 in August, entering Saturday's game, and the offense has been held to three or fewer runs six times during the losing skid. However, the Red Sox are just 14-30 against teams from their division, which makes them the only American League team at least 16 games under .500 against divisional rivals.
New York is not playing its best baseball but will still earn a much-needed series win.
Yankees vs. Red Sox O/U Pick
Over 9 (-120)
Taillon's 2.9% walk rate was the best in baseball in the first half of the season. However, his control issues have been alarming lately, as he has surrendered an average of three walks across his previous four starts. Taillon has also been bitten by the long ball recently, allowing four home runs in his last 11 2/3 innings.
In addition, Wacha was Boston's best starting pitcher before the injury, but it is fair to wonder how long manager Alex Cora will allow him to go after not pitching for a month and a half. A short outing from Wacha will strain a bullpen that has pitched to an MLB-worst 6.94 ERA over the last 30 days.
Yankees-Red Sox Prop Bet
Pham to score a run (-120)
Red Sox leadoff man Tommy Pham has hit .276 during a six-game hitting streak. His 14 career at-bats against Taillon are second only to Xander Bogaerts' 17 among current Red Sox hitters, and he has produced four hits and a .313 wOBA. The three players projected to hit directly behind him (Bogaerts, Rafael Devers, and JD Martinez) are all batting .250 or better in limited samples against Taillon.
Since we are backing the Over, it only makes sense to expect Boston's leadoff hitter to score a run, which he has done four times during his hitting streak.
Where to Bet on Yankees-Red Sox Picks
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Yankees-Red Sox picks from 8/14/2022 at 7:18 a.m. ET