Yankees vs. Mets MLB Picks: Mets, Scherzer Look to Sweep Subway Series

The Mets and Yankees square off in the final game of a quick two-game series at Citi Field. Max Scherzer looks to lead the Mets to a Subway Series sweep. Let's examine the matchup in our Yankees-Mets picks.

New York is the capital of the baseball world in 2022, with both the Yankees and Mets atop their respective divisions.

The Mets took Game 1 of the two-game set on Tuesday, overcoming a 2-0 deficit in the top of the first en route to a 6-3 victory. It was their second straight triumph after dropping three straight.

Meanwhile, the Yankees have stumbled out of the All-Star break, going 2-4 since the Midsummer Classic.

Here are my Yankees-Mets picks and predictions for Wednesday’s MLB game (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook and Unibet; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Yankees vs. Mets Game Info

Date: Wednesday, July 27, 7:10 p.m. ETTV: ESPNLocation: Citi Field, Queens, NYWeather: 79 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 11.4-mph winds

Yankees vs. Mets Odds

Yankees vs. Mets Odds Analysis

The Mets are heavy home favorites at -180 on the moneyline and -1.5 (+125) on the run line, both available through DraftKings. The Yankees are +155 on DraftKings and +1.5 (-140) at BetMGM.

The total opened at eight, but it's since moved down to 7.5 and 7 at some books. You can get Over 7.5 (+104) and Under 7.5 (-125) at Unibet, and Over 7 (-120) and Under 7 (+100) through FoxBET.

Yankees vs. Mets Projected Pitchers

Domingo German (0-1, 15.00 ERA, 2.33 WHIP) vs. Max Scherzer (6-2, 2.28 ERA, 0.89 WHIP)

German missed the start of the season with an injury, and he was lit up for five runs on six hits across just three innings against the Astros last week. The righty went 4-5 with a 4.58 ERA over 22 games (18 starts) in 2021.

Meanwhile, Scherzer has been his usual terrific self for the Mets. He’s allowed two earned runs or fewer in six straight starts, going at least six innings in five of those outings. The Mets are 8-4 during his appearances in 2022.

Yankees vs. Mets Picks

Run line: Mets -1.5 (+125 via DraftKings) ???Total: Over 7.5 (+104 via Unibet) ???Prop: Max Scherzer under 1.5 walks (-145 via DraftKings) ????

Check out the latest comprehensive and most trusted Sportsbook Reviews by SBR.

Yankees vs. Mets Spread Pick

Mets -1.5 (+125)

The Mets showed they can keep up with the Yankees’ big bats on Tuesday night, and their ace is on the mound Wednesday. You can expect better out of German in his second start back, but it won’t be enough to outduel Scherzer at Citi Field.

The plus odds on the Mets' run line are more appealing than laying the -180 juice. The Yankees’ last three losses have all been of the multi-run variety, as were four of the Mets’ last six wins –– including both since the All-Star break.

https://twitter.com/Mets/status/1552303374678237188

Yankees vs. Mets O/U Pick

Over 7.5 (+104)

German hasn’t found his footing yet, and the Yankees’ bullpen pitched most of the game Tuesday (6 2.3 innings). The Mets have scored 14 runs over their last two contests, eclipsing the 7.5 total themselves during an 8-5 win on Sunday.

The Yankees should be good for a few runs on Wednesday, even against Scherzer, and the Mets won't struggle either. Take the plus odds on this Over.

Yankees vs. Mets Prop Bet

Scherzer Under 1.5 walks (-145)

This isn’t as fun as a plus-odds total bases prop or a longer home-run stab, but it’s pretty close to a lock.

Scherzer has walked just two batters over his last five starts since walking two in seven innings against the Seattle Mariners on May 13. He's issued one walk or fewer in six of his last seven starts and nine of 12 in 2022.

The righty has recorded fewer than two walks in 33 of 45 starts since the start on the 2021 season.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4kc81TcKyD0

Where to Bet on Yankees-Mets Picks

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

FanDuel SportsbookCaesars SportsbookDraftKings SportsbookPointsBetBetMGM

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Yankees-Mets picks from 7/27/2022 at 11:26 a.m. ET.