Yankees Bullpen the Difference Over Cubs this Saturday

New York Yankees

Doug Upstone

Saturday, May 6, 2017 4:15 PM GMT

The Yankees hit dramatic three-run home run in the ninth inning to come from behind against the Chicago Cubs Friday and will try to win the series in televised FOX evening affair.

The Cubs are seemingly either coming from behind or blowing leads late in contests, while New York keeps doing all the little things to give them an 18-9 record (+7.8 units). That was the Cubs first loss when leading by two or more runs in 152 contests. For MLB picks, do the Yankees find a way to win or does Chicago take control for the W?

 

Pitching Matchup - Montgomery vs. Anderson

Left-handed Jordan Montgomery (1-1, 4.15 ERA) has made four starts and not been overmatched. He's striking out better than a hitter an inning thanks to excellent breaking pitches. He is learning big league hitters are more patient and he's walked 10 batters in only 21.2 innings and opposing hitters are hitting .275 against his tosses. He will face a Chicago lineup that is 5-2 versus lefties.

Brett Anderson (2-1, 6.23) has been very much like a fifth starter. An innings-eater sometimes blasted, like in his last outing for seven runs in 1.1 innings. Anderson might be fine on many average teams, but he's on a club trying to win back to back World Series and this injury-prone pitcher looks to be nothing more than serviceable. New York is 4-1 vs. portsiders.

 

Wind Again Could Have Major Impact in Windy City

Friday's game had winds blowing the flags in centerfield stiff from the north, negating both teams offensive prowess. The only reason Brett Gardner went deep was he got the barrel on the bat of a low fastball and hit a line drive.

With two left-handed starters, all the right-handed batters on both teams have to avoid upper-cut swings because even hard hit balls with lift will die. For this contest, both teams hitters have to make pitchers throw strikes and look to hit line drives and go the other way.

 Betting Odds and Bullpen Numbers

The MLB odds have the Cubs at -125 over New York, with the total to be released once the probable wind conditions are determined. The Yankees and Cubs bullpens rank fourth and fifth respectively in the major leagues based on ERA, but Chicago's has been tagged for 12 home runs compared to New York's five.

 The Winner Is...

Tight call here on this one and I do not expect either starting pitcher to be around come the sixth inning no matter the wins conditions. I just believe New York at this time is more sound in its bullpen and it worth noting they are 10-0 versus teams whose hitters draw four walks or more a game.

Free MLB Pick: New York +122Best Betting Line: at 5Dimes

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