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Ronald Acuna Jr. and Dansby Swanson of the Atlanta Braves celebrate after a win against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field.
Ronald Acuna Jr. and Dansby Swanson of the Atlanta Braves celebrate after a win against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on June 3, 2022 in Denver, Colorado. Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images via AFP.

In the MLB futures markets, the Los Angeles Dodgers are the favorites to win their eighth World Series title and second since 2020. In this article, we will examine the movements in the MLB futures odds and determine which picks are worth investing in.

It is the final month of the 2022 MLB season, and the race to make the postseason and secure seeding has a greater impact on the World Series odds than ever before. Are we able to capitalize on the fear that a team may not make the postseason by purchasing them at higher odds or should we wait even longer?

When it comes to playing futures markets, the when is just as important as the who. It is seldom a secret who to bet on in any sport, however, timing the when is the key to maximizing your portfolio of futures bets.

Below, we track the movement in the MLB futures odds with our top picks for the 2022 World Series.

2022 World Series Best Bets

World Series Odds

TeamDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMPointsBetCaesars
Dodgers+360+290+290+325+350
Astros+400+410+400+385+380
Mets+500+480+500+500+475
Yankees+550+500+500+500+500
Braves+800+900+900+900+900
Blue Jays+1300+1800+1500+1600+1800
Cardinals+2200+2200+2000+2000+2000
Mariners+2500+2700+2500+2200+2500
Padres+2800+3100+3000+2500+3000
Rays+2800+3100+3000+3300+3000

World Series Picks: Favorites

Dodgers (+360 via DraftKings Sportsbook)

Since Opening Day, the Los Angeles Dodgers have been the favorites in the World Series market, and they have never relinquished it. Some of our top-rated sportsbooks have the Dodgers as short as +290 after starting the season with a price of +550. Although the Dodgers may be the best team in baseball, this price point does not accurately reflect their chances of winning the World Series. 

Astros (+410 via FanDuel Sportsbook)

The Houston Astros are once again the top team in the American League and their World Series odds reflect that fact. Considering a futures bet on either the Astros or the New York Yankees, I would not even hesitate to choose the Astros. The only concern I have with the Astros at this point is the health of ace starter Justin Verlander. Prior to investing, I would like more information regarding his exact return. 

Mets (+500 via BetMGM)

Max Scherzer was placed on the injured list by the New York Mets, which may affect the team's World Series odds. Additionally, the Atlanta Braves are putting tremendous pressure on the Mets for first place in the NL East. There is a possibility that we will see the Mets' odds to win the World Series begin to lengthen very soon, and if this number reaches +600 or higher, I will be buying. 

Yankees (+550 via DraftKings)

Due to the Yankees' recent struggles, their World Series odds have increased from +425 to +550. In my opinion, this would be the perfect time to buy the dip with the Yankees, but they are not a team that I am looking to back in October. As they have taken so much money over the course of the season, their price of +550 is still too short. 

Braves (+900 via FanDuel)

The Braves represent excellent value at their +900 price point to win the World Series. According to FanGraphs, the Braves have a 14.5% (+590) chance of winning the World Series, while Baseball Prospectus gives them a 10.8% (+826) chance. The time is right to purchase futures on the Braves to win the World Series if you are interested in doing so. 

World Series Picks: Contenders

Blue Jays (+1800 via FanDuel)

For the first time this season, the Toronto Blue Jays' World Series price is showing some value due to the +1800 offered by FanDuel. The main issue with the Blue Jays is that they have a team that can win the World Series if they make the postseason, but the Baltimore Orioles are not going away. Let this play out before investing. The longer the threat of the Blue Jays missing the postseason lingers, the longer their World Series odds should become.

Cardinals (+2200 via DraftKings)

The St. Louis Cardinals' odds continue to shorten as they extend their lead over the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central and try to secure the No. 3 seed in the National League. As a World Series wager, the Cardinals do not excite me at +2200. My preference would be to shoot my shot with the San Diego Padres at +3100 rather than the Cardinals at +2200

Mariners (+2700 via FanDuel)

If you had bet on the Seattle Mariners to win the World Series on July 1 when they were trading at +12500, you would be sitting pretty right now. Down the stretch, Seattle has one of the easier schedules in baseball, so making the postseason should not be a problem. It would be shocking if the M's were not the top wild-card team in the AL at the end of the season and did not have home-field advantage in Round 1 of the playoffs. Despite the fact that the Mariners' price is in line with what it should be, I would not object if someone were to wager on the +2700. 

Padres (+3100 via FanDuel)

The Padres are in a similar situation to the Blue Jays, as they are struggling to make the postseason, thereby increasing their odds to win the World Series. According to FanGraphs, the Padres have a 5.5% (+1718) chance of winning the World Series. The Padres are trading for almost 14 dollars more than the FanGraphs projection when you compare it to their odds. Despite the Padres showing value, I would let this play out because their price could rise even more.

Rays (+3300 via PointsBet)

When buying futures for the Tampa Bay Rays, you never have to be early to the party. Because they consistently generate little to no liability for the sportsbooks, sportsbooks are always slow to move their odds. Before the postseason begins, I would not recommend buying any Rays World Series odds. You will still be able to find a good price on the Rays before the Division Series even if they advance out of the Wild Card Round. 

Phillies (+3900 via FanDuel)

In light of the uncertainty surrounding the Blue Jays and Padres to make the postseason, we are seeing them trade for much higher prices than they should. Despite being in a similar position, the Philadelphia Phillies' price is not offering the same value. The highest price you can find on the Phillies is +3900 when they should be trading north of +4000. 

World Series Picks: Long Shots

Guardians (+6600 via BetMGM)

It's hard to find a team that fumbled the bag harder than the Chicago White Sox this season, and the Cleveland Guardians capitalized. Regardless of who wins the AL Central, whether it is the Guardians, White Sox or Minnesota Twins, you will not be interested in their World Series odds. To win the World Series, all three of these teams should carry a price of +10000 or higher. 

Brewers (+8500 via FanDuel)

The Brewers have been very average since Josh Hader was traded at the deadline. I think this trade sucked the life out of the clubhouse and the Brewers are now on the outside looking in for a postseason berth. In my opinion, the Brewers are a complete fade at +8500, as I do not believe they will make the postseason, and even if they did, I do not believe they will win.

Orioles (+15000 via FanDuel)

It is hard to believe that it is already September and the Orioles are still included in this discussion. Since the Orioles began the season with such long odds, their price remains high even though they are in the mix to make the postseason. Despite the fact that the Orioles' +15000 odds are higher than they should be, I do not believe they will win the World Series, so it is not like you can take advantage of the mispricing. 

Where to Bet on the World Series

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

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