World Series MLB Picks: Bet Mets -105 Magic to Come Alive Once Again

Willie Bee

Monday, October 26, 2015 9:11 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 26, 2015 9:11 PM UTC

The Royals and Mets weren't even favorites to win their own divisions, but here they are in the World Series and we're taking a look at the matchup with a free baseball pick.

The Fall Classic is finally upon us, which leaves this old man a bit melancholy knowing that baseball will soon be going to bed for a long winter's nap. My spirits are lifted at least a little bit since it also means the college basketball season is just around the corner.

It's not the World Series matchup we were expecting according to the preseason MLB futures odds. If the biggest chalk back in March made it this far, we'd be seeing a coast-to-coast championship between the Nationals and Angels who were +150 and +360 to win their respective leagues. It's not even a matchup between the teams running second, third or fourth among those odds.

Instead, we have a couple of teams who were well back on the list with the Kansas City Royals 10/1 despite having won the American League a year ago and the New York Mets who were fetching a 15/1 price to win the National League.

Las Vegas has deemed the Series to be a pick 'em with both the Mets and Royals priced at -110 at several books. Meanwhile offshore, New York is the short favorite despite Kansas City having home field advantage in the best of 7 showdown. The Greek carrying -125 on the Mets with the take-back on Kansas City at +105. MLB odds for Game 1 are still in a holding pattern due to Royals having yet to name their starting pitcher for the opener, though Edinson Volquez is generally thought to be Ned Yost's choice.


How The Mets & Royals Reached This Point
Both teams confounded the experts all season, starting with the fact that neither was even picked to win their own division. Though they hoisted the AL flag in '14, the Royals were picked fourth in tight Central Division race led by the Tigers. Kansas City ended up running away from the group by 12 games, the largest margin of any division champ.

New York was tabbed second in the NL East, but a distant second behind a Washington club that carried the heaviest chalk (-500) of any division favorite. The Nationals fell apart while the Mets used a young, strong rotation plus a lights out closer to win 90 games, well 'over' the 82½ they were targeted with on season win totals.

Kansas City put in extra work in the playoffs compared to New York, the Royals needing five games to put away the upstart Houston Astros in the ALDS and going to the sixth game in the ALCS vs. Toronto. The Mets also needed five to dispatch the favored Los Angeles Dodgers in the NLDS before sweeping the Chicago Cubs in the NLCS.


Is 2nd Time The Charm For KC?
Let's face it, the AL champ was destined to be the underdog in the Series from the beginning of the playoffs. That's mostly due to all four NL clubs from big markets and being public favorites. TBS had a dream quartet to broadcast with the Cardinals, Cubs, Dodgers and Mets while the last four from the AL were the Astros, Blue Jays, Rangers and Royals.

Now we get to see the Midwest go up against Gotham, something akin to the Pacers and Knicks clashing several times in the NBA playoffs during the 1990s. If the NL had captures home-field for the Series by winning the All-Star Game this past July, we'd probably be looking at the Mets carrying around -150 chalk for this year's MLB title tussle.

New York definitely has an edge in the starting rotation with one of the strongest young trio of arms we've seen in a while. Matt Harvey will get things going on Tuesday followed by Jacob deGrom and Noah Syndergaard, then there's rookie Steven Matz for Game 4 this Saturday, what promises to be a special Halloween Saturday night in New York. The Mets also have the postseason's hottest hitter in Daniel Murphy who has clubbed seven homers in nine games this fall, plus there's Jeurys Familia who has logged eight scoreless postseason appearances.

Kansas City has the experience from being in this spot a year ago, and the Royals also have some fine pitching, timely hitting and a deep bullpen of their own. But, c'mon man! These are the Amazin's, and Mets magic is alive once again which is why New York is my MLB pick in six games.

MLB Pick: Mets -105 at 5Dimes

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