World Series MLB Pick on Mets, Royals to go ‘over’ in Game 2

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, October 28, 2015 8:31 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 28, 2015 8:31 PM UTC

The Royals drew first blood in the World Series winning 5-4 in 14 innings vs. the Mets in Game 1, and now look for another relatively high scoring contest in Game 2 on Wednesday. 


After these teams went ‘over’ in Game 1 of this World Series, look for a similar result as far as the total goes Wednesday night when Jacob deGrom and the National League Champion New York Mets visit fellow right-hander Johnny Cueto and the American League Champion Kansas City Royals for Game 2 of the best-of-seven series from Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO at 8:05 ET in a game televised nationally on FOX.


The posted total at Pinnacle Sports is 7 for this contest with the current odds on the ‘over’ set at -110.


Took 14 Innings for Royals Win
The Royals drew first blood in a 14-inning marathon in Game 1, a game that matched the longest in World Series history in terms of innings and last five hours and nine minutes. Kansas City overcame a 4-3 deficit in the ninth inning on a home run by Alex Gordon to tie it off of Mets’ closer Jeurys Familia, who had not blown a save since July and who had been invincible during the post-season, before Eric Hosmer won it with a sacrifice fly in the 14th.

Thus, being the losing MLB picks in Game 1 marks the first time that the Mets have trailed in a post-season series this year, as they alternated wins and losses while beating the Los Angeles Dodgers in five games in the NLDS and then swept the Chicago Cubs in four games in the NLCS. This series is far from over though as the Mets could still take the home field advantage away from Kansas City with a road win tonight, with the next three games in New York.


Tired deGrom?
And the Mets seem to have the right pitcher on the mound as they try to even up this series in deGrom, who went 14-8 with a brilliant 2.54 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and 205 strikeouts vs. just 38 walks in 191 innings during the regular season while averaging better than 95 MPH on his fastball, and he was then superb in Game 1 of the NLDS vs. the Dodgers tossing seven scoreless innings with 13 strikeouts. Still, deGrom has not had his usual command his last two starts.

It is a tribute to his greatness that he came out relatively unscathed while not having his best “stuff”, as he allowed just two runs in six innings of the deciding Game 5 vs. the Dodgers despite allowing nine baserunners (six hits plus three walks), and he actually had a good stat line in his one NLCS start vs. the Cubs allowing two runs on four hits in seven innings, but both runs came on home runs and Chicago let him off the hook as he was missing locations throughout the game.

Manager Terry Collins cited fatigue as one of the reasons for holding deGrom back until Game 2 of this World Series as he was rested enough to pitch in Game 1, and if some of that fatigue lingers here, the Royals can make deGrom pay.


Disappointing Cueto
Cueto meanwhile has been hugely disappointing since the Royals acquired him to be their ace, although he did pick a great time to turn in his best performance in a Kansas City uniform, as it came in the deciding Game 5 of the ALDS vs. the Houston Astros when Cueto allowed two runs on two hits in eight innings and retired the last 19 batters he faced after a second inning two-run homer.

That was the lone highlight of Cueto’s time with the Royals though, as he went just 4-7 with a 4.76 ERA and 1.45 WHIP for them in the regular season, then was touched up for four earned runs on seven hits plus three walks in six innings in his first ALDS start vs. the Astros in Game 2, and then he lasted just two innings while being pummeled for eight earned runs by the Toronto Blue Jays in his only ALCS start.

On top of all that, Cueto has never had much success vs. the Mets going 3-4 with a 4.02 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 11 career starts against them, and this desperate New York team is a better offensive club than the ones he has faced in the past.


Mets’ Offense Still Underrated?
Finally, the Mets did improve offensively over the second half of the year after acquiring Yoenis Cespedes and the books may have been slow to adjust, as the ‘over’ is now 27-7-1 in New York’s last 35 road games vs. right-handed starters and 30-10-1 in its last 41 road games overall. The ‘over’ is also 11-2 in Cueto’s last 13 starts overall and a perfect 7-0 in his last seven home starts.

Look for those trends to continue here as the more desperate Mets should get to Cueto given his off form in a Royals’ uniform while Kansas City could make deGrom pay if his command is a bit off as it was in his last two starts, so go ‘over’ when New York visits Kauffman Stadium for Game 2 of the 2015 World Series on Wednesday.


MLB Pick: Mets, Royals ‘over’ 7 (-110)


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