World Series Game 6 Starters Will Not Slow Offensive Onslaught

astros dodgers

Mark Lathrop

Tuesday, October 31, 2017 1:36 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 31, 2017 1:36 PM UTC

This World Series has seen a bit of everything in it and our MLB handicapper Mark Lathrop looks to find wagering value as the MLB season could end tonight with a decisive Game 6 in Los Angeles.

2017 MLB Record: 227-201-12 (+11.16 units)

Free MLB Pick: Over 7.5Best Line Offered: Bovada

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Houston Astros at Los Angeles Dodgers, Game 6

My strategy of grabbing the live 'over' line at Bovada after the first inning of Game 5 is to thank for no blood being drawn with my pick on the Dodgers. Game 5 was epic, beyond my writing skills to describe, really, to which all pregame betting analysis was thrown out the window shortly after first pitch. There were 7 home runs, 25 runs scored and 417 pitches thrown over 5 hours and 17 minutes. A total of 12 relievers were used in the game – 6 by each team. The bullpens were lucky to have Monday off, although at this point adrenaline should be taking care of any short rest situations.

That game had all kinds of fun facts, such as the Dodgers losing their first game after leading by 4 runs this season, much to the disappointment of my wager. The Astros also swung and missed on only 13 pitches of 194 faced – in a game started by Clayton Kershaw, of all things.

The series now goes back to Los Angeles with it facing elimination Tuesday in Game 6 against Justin Verlander. He received a no-decision in his first World Series appearance as the Astros picked up Game 2 by the score of 7-6.  As is the trend in the series, Verlander gave up two home runs – one to Joc Pederson and one to Corey Seager. Verlander left the game after throwing just 79 pitches, but one must remember this was at a National League park and he was pinch-hit for in the top of the 7th inning.

Dodgers lefty Rich Hill also pitched in Game 2, although he was only allowed to go 4 innings and also had a no-decision. Walks were an issue for Hill as he had 3 free passes in his short time on the mound. He was throwing strikes, though, with 42 of his 60 pitches being called. Hill will likely be relieved by Kenta Maeda at some point, just as he was in Game 2, but 9 pitchers were used in that game and with the Dodgers’ season on the line I would expect the entire pitching staff to be available to come in.

The moneyline opened at -125 favoring the Dodgers and has experienced some heavy line movement towards the Astros. As of Tuesday morning, the Astros can be found with chalk of their own over at Bovada. With these offenses launching the ball out of the ballpark with increasing regularity though I am looking at the 'over' for wagering value. That line can be found at 7.5 runs nearly across the board – probably thanks to Verlander starting for Houston. I’ll be taking that 'over' regardless of Verlander, and expect more of the offensive firepower to continue to cash my Game 6 MLB Pick.

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