With Umpire Jim Wolf Behind Plate, Is the Total Best Pick in Red Sox-Orioles?

Jim Wolfe

Thursday, May 4, 2017 6:50 PM GMT

The Red Sox and Orioles have won a combined one game the L16 time Umpire Jim Wolf has been behind Home Plate, so looking to the Total seems like the best approach on Thursday night in Game 4 of this AL East series from Fenway Park.

Odds Overview

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox: RHP Tyler Wilson (1-1, 5.40 ERA) and the Orioles (16-10) face RHP Kyle Kendrick (0-0) and Red Sox (15-12) at Fenway Park in Boston on Thursday in the 4th game of this AL East series. After a pitching change, sportsbooks have Boston -122 favorites with the Total 10 while the Run Line sees the Red Sox -1½ +150 with the Orioles +1½ -170. Boston won Game 1 on Monday, 5-2, with Baltimore winning Game 2 by the same scoreline followed by the Red Sox and Drew Pomeranz winning 4-2 in Game 3 on Wednesday.

 

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles have played some really good baseball to start the Regular Season, especially on the Road where Baltimore’s 8-6 record heading into play Wednesday was tied with the White Sox and Indians for the best mark in the Junior Circuit although the Birds RD of +1 (108 RF-107 RA) leaves much to be desired. In Game 3 Wednesday, O’s Manager Buck Showalter had a starting lineup of: RF Rickard, CF Jones, SS Machado, DH Trumbo, 1B Davis, 2B Schoop, LF Mancini, 3B Hardy, C Joseph with Kevin Gausman starting. Before these three straight Unders in Beantown, Baltimore had played four straight Overs. The Under is 56-27-3 L86 Orioles games on Grass.

 

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox and Manager John Farrell have seemed to have trouble getting into a groove with the Carmines scoring as many Runs as they have allowed (100 RF-100 RA) although they could take solace in the fact on Wednesday that the world champion Cubs, Indians and Dodgers were all also sitting 2 games above the .500 mark as May begins to take shape. In Game 3 Wednesday, Farrell put out a Starting Lineup of: 2B Pedroia, LF Benintendi, RF Betts, DH Ramirez, SS Bogaerts, 1B Moreland, LF Young, 3B Hernández, C Vázquez with Drew Pomeranz getting the pill.

Boston is 17-8 L25 vs. Starters with WHIPs 1.30+, 7-4 L11 Game 4’s but were 2-5 L7 vs. AL East heading into Wednesday’s Game 3. The Under is 10-2 L12 Red Sox Thursday games, 25-9-3 L387 on Grass and 36-17-3 L56 against the AL East (67.9%).

 

Boston Weather, Series Trends

TWC forecast for Boston on Thursday evening is currently calling for Cloudy Skies, a Low of 45° with SSE Winds of 10-15 mph. Orioles hurler Jiménez has had back-to-back 3.1 I starts and when he faced Boston at Fenway Park earlier this season, the north-paw allowed 5 ER on a season-high 8 Hits. Even with these bottom-shelf Pitchers, with the Under 12-3-2 L17 in the series and 4-1-1 L6 in Massachusetts thanks to the two Unders in Games 1 and 2, backing the Total seems safer than a Side here, especially with the Road team 9-0 the L9 times Umpire Jim Wolf has been behind the plate in Red Sox games and Baltimore 1-6 L7 times the 47-year-old Los Angeles native has called Balls and Strikes.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Red Sox 5 Orioles 4Free MLB Pick: Under 10Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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