I am looking for the Braves to have a much better day at the plate against Chris Heston and the Giants. On the other side I look for the Giants to do some damage so I will be backing over the total for my MLB pick.
It makes a bit of sense to me that the MLB odds makers have come out with this game at 6.5 for the total. But the more I look at the matchups and stats, I think we are going to see more production than the line anticipates.
Miller comes in with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP below 1.00. He is a good major league pitcher but those numbers are of course inflated this early in the season. On top of that he has feasted on the weaker hitting teams in the league like Miami, Milwaukee, Philadelphia, and Cincinnati. Chris Heston comes in with a 4.33 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. At home he has been decent with an ERA just below 3.00, but home or away batters are hitting over .270 against him.
The Braves should have a little momentum after beating the Dodgers yesterday after getting some late run and having faced two of the best pitchers in the league in Greinke and Kershaw. The Giants in the last three games are averaging more than five runs per game.
Although the Giants have had their struggles at home they look to be in pretty good shape to get more than a few off of Miller. The Braves should have some success against Heston as well. Although the line is small due to a few factors, don’t let it throw you off; there will be plenty of offense tonight in the city by the bay, take the over with your MLB picks.
MLB Pick: Over at BetOnline