Win Big With Friday's Top Three Over/Under MLB Picks

Matthew Jordan

Thursday, April 7, 2016 10:33 PM UTC

Thursday, Apr. 7, 2016 10:33 PM UTC

Usually, all 30 major-league teams would be playing on a Friday -- barring weather issues -- during the season. But oddly two are off this Friday, Miami and Washington. OK then. Here are my top three totals picks for the day with BetOnline's MLB odds.

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
It's the home opener for the Rockies and it's actually going to be quite nice in Denver -- sometimes in early April it could still be snowing there. If you are looking for the worst team in baseball thus far, I give you the San Diego Padres. They were destroyed in a three-game home sweep at the hands of the Dodgers to start this week, losing by a combined score of 25-0. No team in MLB history had ever opened a season with 27 straight scoreless innings. The previous mark was 26 by the 1943 St. Louis Cardinals. San Diego batters are hitting all of .120 with one extra-base hit. So perhaps a trip to hitter-friendly  Coors Field will solve things. Those Padres hitters will face the Rockies' Jordan Lyles. The injury-plagued right-hander was limited to 10 starts last year and was 2-5 with a 5.14 ERA. He faced the Padres once and beat them, allowing one run in 6.2 innings and that was at Coors Field. Matt Kemp is 3-for-8 career off him with a solo homer. Kemp actually had two of the Padres' 11 hits in the Dodgers series, both singles. San Diego starts Colin Rea, who was 2-2 with a 4.26 ERA in six starts as a rookie last year. He did pitch one inning of relief Monday vs. L.A. Can Rea slow down red-hot Rockies rookie shortstop Trevor Story? He is the first player since 1900 with homers in the first three games of his big-league career and has four total.

Take 'Over' with your MLB picks. I think the Padres' drought ends in a big way. The 'over' is 16-4-1 in San Diego's past 21 road games vs. righties. The 'over' is 12-3 in Lyles' past 15 vs. the NL West.

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MLB Pick: Over 10
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
It's the home opener for the Blue Jays, who I'm sure will be putting up an American League East champions banner at Rogers Centre. One big question  for the Blue Jays is whether reigning American League MVP and third baseman Josh Donaldson will play. He hit his second homer of the young season in Wednesday's loss to Tampa Bay but had to leave early with a strained calf. Those usually take longer than a few days to heal, but Donaldson is being called day-to-day. No doubt Red Sox starter Rick Porcello would prefer that Donaldson sit out. Porcello was very inconsistent last year with Boston, going 9-15 with a 4.92 ERA and allowing a career-high 25 home runs. He was better late in the year with a 3.14 ERA in his final eight starts. Porcello was roughed up by the Jays in 2015, going 2-2 with a 6.45 ERA. He allowed five homers in 22.1 innings. Jose Bautista feasts off him, going 11-for-26 with a homer. It's the second start of the season for young Blue Jays ace Marcus Stroman. He was very good in his season debut on Sunday at Tampa Bay, allowing three runs and six hits over eight innings in a victory. Stroman made one start vs. Boston in 2015 and won, allowing one run in seven innings.

Bet 'Under.' The 'under' is 4-1 in Porcello's past five series openers. It is 8-3-1 in Stroman's past 12 at home.

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MLB Pick: Under 8.5 
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants
Perhaps the most unlikely starting pitcher to make a rotation out of spring training in all of baseball was Dodgers 26-year-old rookie Ross Stripling, who makes his big-league debut here. He was such an afterthought this spring that he wasn't even listed on the team's depth chart. But several Dodgers starters went down with injuries and Stripling beat out Carlos Frias and Zach Lee for the No. 5 spot. Guy has never pitched about Double-A and missed all of 2014 and half of last season in the minors due to Tommy John surgery. Hard not to root for a guy like that. No Dodger pitcher has allowed a run yet so no pressure! The Dodgers are the first team since the 1963 Cardinals to begin with three consecutive shutouts pitched. San Francisco goes with Matt Cain. He just hasn't been the same since 2012 and pitched just 60.2 innings last season due to injury and was 2-4 with a career-worst 5.79 ERA. He didn't face the Dodgers. Chase Utley enjoys facing him, going 9-for-27 with four homers. Adrian Gonzalez has four dingers off him and 13 RBIs in 74 at-bats.

Add 'Over'  at MLB odds as Cain really struggled this spring too. The 'over' has hit in eight of Cain's past 12 starts. 

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MLB Pick: Over 8 
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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