White Sox vs. Orioles MLB Picks: Handicapper Clarifies Complicated Situation Signalling Best Betting Value in Neutral Site

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, April 29, 2015 12:45 PM GMT

Amidst chaos in the city, the Orioles will resume baseball activities this afternoon in a meeting with the White Sox. Where should we go with our sports picks for this one?

Odds Overview
Following two postponed games in a row, baseball returns in Baltimore. The Orioles will take on the White Sox, but the game will be closed to the public.

There has been a lot of confusion when it comes to the MLB betting lines because of the cancellations, but for the most part we see the Orioles favored at right around -110, with the White Sox listed at +105 and the total at eight runs. Whereas Baltimore is ranked near the top of the majors in runs scored per game, Chicago finds itself near the bottom, so it's an interesting clash here to consider for MLB picks.

 

Baltimore Orioles (Jimenez)
Let's focus on the starting pitchers only for this afternoon's matchup at Camden Yards. Ubaldo Jimenez will be taking the mound for the Orioles, and he's currently 1-1 with a 2.30 ERA and 0.89 WHIP.

Great numbers, right? On the surface yes, but we've learned over the years that the right hander is not to be trusted to deliver on a consistent basis. He owns a career 3.98 ERA and went 6-9 with a 4.81 ERA last season, so we're not going to read too much into his hot start just yet. Maybe once we get a larger sample size we'll be able to come around a little. Who knows.

We're still early enough in the season where we need to look back to 2014 to see some key numbers. Jimenez struggled at home last season, going 3-6 with a 5.49 ERA, and he was also poor in his one meeting with the White Sox, allowing eight hits and four runs over six innings. 

 

Chicago White Sox (Samardzija)
Jeff Samardzija moved over from the Cubs over the offseason and has continued to pitch as solid as ever. He had a 2.99 ERA last season and has a 3.33 ERA through his first four starts of the 2015 campaign.

You know what you're going to get with the Shark. He's a consistent right hander who rarely gets shelled, and he's a reliable innings eater that has good stuff. That being said, the move over to the White Sox is unlikely to result in more run support, as the team is ranked 29th in runs scored as things stand at the moment. Samardzija was 7-13 last season despite owning a sub 3.00 ERA, and that's just silly.

Run support is a big deal obviously, especially when playing against a powerful team like Baltimore, but we think the Shark will be at his best here and that'll he'll be able to frustrate the Orioles throughout. 

 

MLB Pick
The MLB odds are as tight as they are for a reason, but there's one underlying reason why we think Chicago is the play today, and that's the pitching matchup.

We simply don't trust Jimenez whatsoever and can't put our faith in him. The right hander will completely dazzle one night, but then fall flat on his face the other, and that kind of maddening inconsistency is best to be avoided as much as possible. Samardzija isn't an elite pitcher by any means, but he's pitched at least six innings in each of his four starts and has looked especially sharp over his last two assignments.

So, with our MLB picks, we are going to roll with Chicago. We know Baltimore posseses the more dangerous offense, but we like the White Sox to grab the win here behind a solid outing from the Shark. Of course, it doesn't hurt that there will be no fans in attendance, thus making this more of a neutral-site game than anything else. Back the White Sox.

MLB Pick: Chicago White Sox -108 at GTBets

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