White Sox-Pirates MLB Picks: Pittsburgh & Morton Are Perfect 4-0

Joe Gavazzi

Tuesday, June 16, 2015 1:27 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jun. 16, 2015 1:27 PM UTC

We are pleased to share our MLB betting insight with this "Steamroller Play" featuring a huge home/road dichotomy, a momentum mismatch, as well as a huge pitching advantage for our side.

Chicago White Sox (Quintana) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (Morton) (-140) 7:10 ET
The Chicago White Sox visit the Pittsburgh Pirates in the 2nd of this 4-game interleague set which will move to Chicago for the last two games, beginning Wednesday.  On Monday, the Pirates broke out of a hitting funk to post an 11-0 victory vs. the outmanned Pale Hose.  Now that the Pirates have firmly reestablished their momentum, they are a solid play tonight backed by a home/road dichotomy, short-term divergent momentum and a pitching advantage.  Yesterday, we took advantage of a value price on Atlanta, following a huge early money move on Boston.  It resulted in an easy 4-2 Big Dog victory at a +158 price!  Today, we do the same fading a .20 cent downward move on CWS to take advantage of the Pittsburgh Pirates at this value price.

The White Sox enter tonight on a 4-game losing streak at 28-34.  With the backing of my OPS rankings, I see them spiraling down even further.  CWS is bottom 5 in both pitching and batting OPS.  It is a sure sign they are overachieving their current record.  Again this year, the White Sox are struggling on the road.  Their current 4-game road losing streak is a microcosm of that.  For the season, the White Sox are 12-22 on the road, being outscored by 58 runs.  Only Baltimore has fewer road wins in the American League.  Tonight’s starter, Quintana, has pitched well in his recent outings.  He has posted a 2.21 ERA in his previous 3 starts, after a 4.67 ERA in his first 9 starts.  Nonetheless, for the YTD, Quintana has a 4.00 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP.  

The Pittsburgh Pirates are heading the opposite direction.  There is much promise in Pittsburgh, following consecutive playoff appearances that ended a 20-year drought of losing teams.  Young hitters were coming into their prime and the pitching rotation looked solid.  Yet, after ¼ of the season had passed, Pittsburgh was a disturbing 18-22, mostly because the hitters had collectively begun the season with a lethargic start.  Since that time, Pittsburgh has gone 18-5, outscoring opponents 107-52.  There was some concern when Pittsburgh went 4-2 last week, despite plating only 9 runs.  But, the 11-0 victory last night put those concerns to rest and lifted Pittsburgh to 20-11 on this field.  Tonight’s starter, Morton, figures to continue the Pittsburgh ascent.  Since returning from the DL, Pittsburgh and Morton are a perfect 4-0, as he has a 2.05 ERA and 1.06 WHIP.  He comes off a start in which he worked 7 1/3 IP, allowing 0 runs on 3 hits with 6Ks in a 2-0 victory vs. Milwaukee.  His sinker is working to perfection, as he is inducing a 70% groundball percentage.  It’s tough for opposing batters to hit homeruns, if they can’t get the ball in the air!  

In what can only be termed the Steamroller of the Night, look for the Pirates to combine the strong continued work of Morton behind a home/road dichotomy and a divergent current form for a resounding victory!

MLB Picks: Take Pittsburgh Pirates -142 at YouWager

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