Wednesday's Top Value MLB Picks

Joe Catalano

Wednesday, June 18, 2014 1:05 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jun. 18, 2014 1:05 PM UTC

The ball has been flying with multiple players having multi-homerun games yesterday. Will we continue to see a lot of offensive outbursts or pitchers duels as summer begins? Here are your MLB Picks for Wednesday.

Joe C. Record: 93-97 -30.41 Units

Colorado Rockies (34-37) at Los Angeles Dodgers (39-34): Riding the Chalk
I don’t like to ride the chalk at these exceedingly high odds, but yesterday I was successful in doing so, and you have to like Clayton Kershaw facing a Colorado Rockies team that plays better offensively at home than on the road. 

Although the Rockies have been outscored by the Dodgers 10-3 in the first two games of this series, superstar Troy Tulowitzki has started to show that he’s not a “one trick pony” and can hit away from Coors Field. “Tulo” is  6 for 10 in his last 3 games with 1 HR and 2 RBI. The bad news for Tulowitzki is that the task doesn’t get any easier as he, and the Rockies, go from facing Zack Greinke to Clayton Kershaw (6-2, 2.93)

In his last 5 starts, Kershaw has allowed 7 runs in 34 innings while winning his last 3 decisions. Kershaw and the Dodgers will get a boost as Matt Kemp has finally started to hit, and if Kemp can hit like he did in the past, this team will be unstoppable.

Kemp homered last night and in the last week, has hit .417 with 2 HR and 7 RBI. A matchup with Rockies starter Jorge De La Rosa (6-5, 4.12) seems quite favorable to the one time superstar Kemp.

The Dodgers have an undeniable edge offensively and defensively as the odds indicate. Let’s lay the heavy juice, and continue our streak of winning MLB picks.

Free MLB Pick:  Dodgers -206 at 5 Dimes

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Seattle Mariners (37-34) at San Diego Padres (29-42): Sticking With the Aces
We’re sticking with the aces as “King” Felix Hernandez (8-2, 2.29) takes the mound in a complete mismatch against the worst offensive team in the league in the San Diego Padres. The Pads are last in mostly every offensive statistical category in the majors.

The Padres have a .214 batting average collectively as a team, and a .274 on base percentage. That’s as bad as it gets. Let’s face it, if the Padres couldn’t win a game in remembrance of the late Tony Gwynn at Petco Park, they’re not going to win against Hernandez. If there was any game to get up for, it would be in honor of the franchises best player of all-time who passed away well before his time.

The Padres simply don’t have the ammunition to compete especially against the best pitcher in the American League in the last decade. Seattle doesn’t have an above average offense, but they’re still far superior to that of their opponent led by Robinson Cano and his .327 batting average and the pitching should hold the Padres to possibly 2 runs or less.

Runs batted in is a statistic that is always overlooked, and Jedd Gyorko, who is batting .162, leads the Padres with 24 runs batted in. Even Seth Smith has been tailing off as of late as his average has dipped below .300 to .286. Enough said; Seattle should  steam roll the weak hitting Padres.

Free MLB Pick:  Seattle -128 at 5 Dimes (In a game like this, these odds are actually appealing!)

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