Wednesday's Over/Under MLB Picks Feature Top Two High Scoring Affairs

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, July 22, 2015 2:17 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jul. 22, 2015 2:17 PM UTC

Our resident handicapping professional has been absolutely dominant with his totals selections all season. On Wednesday he shares two more of those in games involving Pittsburgh/Kansas City and Boston/Houston. Read this intriguing piece to find out why he likes these picks.

Pirates (Morton) vs. Royals (Volquez) 8:10 PM ET
Charlie Morton’s last three road starts this season have been disastrous. In those outings, he posted a mammoth 12.33 ERA and 2.37 WHIP.

Edinson Volquez has a stellar entire bidy of work in 2015. However, he’s been a bit shaky over his last four starts, posting a 3.74 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, and three of the four games went over the total. Kansas City has gone 6-1-1 over the total in their last eight games with Volquez as their starting pitcher. The Royals are averaging 5.1 runs per game and are hitting a stellar .302 as a team during their previous seven outings. They also possess a very good .283 team batting average in 48 home games this year.

I like this game to be a high scoring affair and one of my MLB picks today will reflect that prediction. Heritage currently has a posted total of 7.5 while all the rest of the major sportsbooks are at 8.0.

MLB Pick: Royals and Pirates over 7.5 (-110) at Heritage 

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Red Sox (Kelly) vs. Astros (McHugh) 8:10 PM ET
Joe Kelly has displayed bad form during his previous three starts with a large 6.75 ERA and 1.84 WHIP. That’s nothing new for the Boston hurler since he has a lofty 5.66 ERA in fourteen starts in 2015. He’s made one career start versus Houston and that occurred in 2014. In that outing, Kelly allowed 7 earned runs on 7 hits while walking six, and also gave up 2 home runs in only 4.0 innings of work. The Red Sox have gone over the total in their last three, and those contests averaged a combined 11.0 runs scored per game.

Colin McHugh has a less than impressive 4.47 ERA in eight starts at home this season. He’s made one start versus Boston this year and was ineffective. During that outing, McHugh allowed 3 earned runs on 7 hits while walking 3 in 5 1/3 innings. Houston leads all of baseball with 129 homers in 2015, and that includes 72 of them in 48 games at Minute Maid Park.

These teams have gone 12-5-1 over the total in their eighteen meetings since 2013. This has all the earmarks of another high scoring game. Pinnacle has the most favorable price in that regard.

MLB Pick: Red Sox and Astros over 8.0 (-103) at Pinnacle.

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