Our MLB expert provides his two best totals picks of the day. Don’t make a move on the Pittsburgh/Milwaukee & Detroit/Kansas City games without reading this compelling betting preview article.
Pirates (Locke) vs. Brewers (Davies) 8:10 PM ET
Jeff Locke has seen just two of his eleven starts on the road this season go under the total, and posted a very lofty 5.61 ERA during those outings. As a matter of fact, Locke is 14-3 over the total in road starts since 2014. The Pirates have scored 4 runs or more in eight of their last thirteen games.
Zach Davies will make his first career Major League start on Wednesday for Milwaukee. The 22 year old right-hander posted a solid 3.30 ERA in 23 starts for AAA Norfolk and Colorado Springs. He’s deemed to be a finesse pitcher that possesses a fastball clocked between 88 to 90 miles per hour, and relies heavily on change of speeds to keep hitters off balance. Milwaukee has gone 8-2-2 over the total in their previous twelve contests, and has averaged a healthy 5.4 runs per game during that stretch. The Brewers have also amassed an impressive team slugging percentage of .500 in their last seven games.
I like this game to be a high scoring affair and one of my MLB picks today will reflect that prediction. According to the MLB betting odds at Youwager, they provide us with the optimum combination of lowest total and price on the entire major sportsbook board.
MLB Pick: Play on the Pirates and Brewers Over 9.0 (-123).
Tigers (Wolf) vs. Royals (Ventura) 8:10 PM ET
Veteran southpaw Randy Wolf has been impressive in two starts for Detroit. He’s pitched 7.0 innings in each of those starts, posted a stellar 2.57 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and struck out 10 while walking only 2. Detroit enters today having averaged just 3.4 runs per game while hitting a paltry .222 as a team in their last seven outings.
Yordano Ventura has been superb in his last four starts, compiling an excellent 1.08 ERA, and struck out 32 in 25.0 innings pitched. Ventura made his first career start at home versus Detroit on 8/11. The Royals hurler was brilliant during that appearance, allowing 0 earned runs on 2 hits while striking out 8 in 6.0 innings. Kansas City has gone a dominant 56-29 versus right-handed starting pitchers in 2015. However, they’re an average at best 24-22 versus southpaw starters, and there’s a noticeable decline pertaining to their offensive numbers when cast into that role.
This is one of those selections that I’m on the opposite side of an overwhelming amount of general public bets.
MLB Pick: Play on the Tigers and Royals Under 8.0 (+105) at 5Dimes.