Joe C. Record
35-43 -20.91 Units
Momentum and a bit of luck are key to any type of success and it’s very early. I’ve had very successful seasons the last few years which are documented . I provide for you my record on a daily basis because I’m very confident in what I do and apply a lot of due diligence in making these picks. Stick with me and we’ll prosper!
Houston Astros (10-23) vs. Detroit
It doesn’t take a genius to figure out that the Houston Astros have hit the skids, losing 4 straight games while the Detroit Tigers are starting to regain their success of the past as they’ve won 7 straight games and lead the American League Central Division by 7 games. The Tigers +/- ratio is off the chart, their pitching has been stupendous, and their bats are warming up. Detroit has outscored Houston in the first two games of this series 13-4.
Tonight, they look to Rick Porcello (4-1, 3.66) to keep the ball rolling and although Porcello has received good run support, he’s been more than a serviceable pitcher that Detroit can rely on. This is a good spot for him as he faces one of the weaker offenses in baseball in the Houston Astros.
Porcello is coming off of a fine effort in which he allowed just 2 runs and 4 hits in 7 innings in a victory over Kansas City. He’s a pitcher that will keep Detroit in the game and with hitters like Miguel Cabrera (3 HR, 23 RBI, .293 BA) and a whole host of others, Detroit should be in good shape.
The Tigers sport the 2nd best batting average as a team in the majors. Rajai Davis (.337), Torii Hunter (.333), Victor Martinez (.320), and Ian Kinsler (.308 ) are all hitting over .300 and they know how to drive runners in. This game should be a cakewalk for the Tigers.
Although the moneyline is bloated, we must play the moneyline, because of Porcello as the starter. He’s been good, but isn’t classified as a star pitcher.
MLB Pick: Detroit – 210 at 5 Dimes
Philadelphia Phillies (15-16) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (16-17)
Lee vs. Buehrle
Normally, I would look towards the side in a game like this with Cliff Lee (3-2, 3.00), but Toronto has been hitting well behind the power of Jose Bautista and Edwin Encarnacion and Mark Buehrle (5-1, 2.25) has pitched as good as Lee, if not better.
No Slouch Here
A lot of people might think of Mark Buehrle as a .500 pitcher that can provide innings. In fact, Buehrle is 48 games over .500 for his career and if not for one bad start this season, he’d would be considered the best pitcher in baseball.
If you take out the poor start against Boston, Buehrle has allowed a total of 4 earned runs in 5 starts which cover a span of 34 2/3 innings. The total in this game is teetering between 7.5 and 8 runs. I’m not going to buy a ½ run; I’m going to find an SBR recommended sportsbook that offers this game at 8 runs and take the under with a smile on my face as this will be a pitcher’s duel.
MLB Pick: Philadelphia/Toronto Under 8 at 5 Dimes -105