Wednesday's Best Value MLB Picks

Joe Catalano

Wednesday, June 25, 2014 1:32 PM GMT

Wednesday’s brings a bunch of day and night MLB action in which the starting pitching is a bit suspect. The over the totals have been good to us. Do we continue to feature them as our betting picks? Take a look.

Joe C. Record: 102-103 -28.73 Units
I’ve been riding the over like crazy as most of the Coors Field games continue to go over the total early. If something is working for you then you stick with it, until the trends change up. Overall, at Coors Field, you will never see the totals go low, but the odds makers could raise the totals (today is 11). Please keep that in mind.

Today’s game at Coors Field features two pitchers with no major league experience. Add in the fact that this is an early game, and it will get very little print time; we’ll bypass it for today.


Detroit Tigers (41-32) vs. Texas Rangers (35-41): Streaks Are Made To Be Broken?
Although this is true, I’m not getting that feeling in this game as the Detroit Tigers are riding a 5 game winning streak, and send Anibal Sanchez (4-2, 2.33) to the mound. He has been sensational, holding opposing batters to just a .182 batting average. Sanchez has also not allowed more than 3 runs in a start this season, and we’re almost into the month of July. The odds appear to be stacked against the Texas Rangers who have lost 6 straight games.

Detroit has really been crushing the baseball lately. They’ve outscored their opponents 18-6 in their last 2 games. Ian Kinsler was on point in his return to Texas as his first at-bat resulted in a home run. Kinsler has been the hottest hitter in the Tigers lineup this past week. He’s hitting .346 this past week with 2 HR and 6 RBI.

The Tigers lineup is stacked. With Rajai Davis playing well, this sets the meat of the order with Miguel Cabrera and the Martinez’s to drive in runs as players are frequently getting on base.

While Texas can celebrate Adrian Beltre’s 2500th hit of his illustrious career, there’s not much to celebrate in this game as Sanchez has been fairly unhittable.

Free MLB Pick: Detroit -144 at 5 Dimes

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San Diego Padres (34-44) vs. San Francisco Giants (45-32)Forced To Take San Francisco
This game is all about the odds as Tim Lincecum (5-5, 4.90) and the San Francisco Giants have a definite edge over the inferior San Diego Padres and Ian Kennedy (5-8, 3.90). Odds makers have really given the Pads respect as San Francisco is just a -120 betting favorite at home.

The truth of the matter is that the Padres have beaten up on the Giants in the last 2 games by a total of 13-2, but the odds are still very desirable if you’re leaning in San Francisco’s direction. This is the National League West Division leading team that we’re talking about; a team that has won multiple World Series in recent seasons.


Bottom Feeders
From an offensive perspective, let’s not forget the fact that the San Diego Padres are the worst offensive team in recent times.

They rank last in the major leagues in runs, batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. As a team, the Padres are hitting just .216 and have on-base percentage of .275; this is quite pathetic and although the Giants have never been known for their offense, they still have some formidable hitters in Pablo Sandoval, Michael Morse, Buster Posey, and Hunter Pence.  Not only that, the Giants are a team that consistently wins with their pitching.

Seth Smith (8 HR, 24 RBI, .294) is the only hitter in the Padres lineup that brings anything to the table and it’s simply not enough if Lincecum pitches a half-decent game at home.

Free MLB Pick: San Francisco -120 at 5 Dimes for your next MLB pick.

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