After close to a week off because of the IFBC, I’m back, baby! It’s been a rough second half for us so far, but lately has been a little better for our player prop picks. I am ready to bounce right back into it tonight with a couple of valuable prop picks.
Season MLB Props Record 20-25-1 (-7.70 units)Jose Altuve O/U 2½ Runs, Hits & RBIs
Houston's Altuve is in the midst of a monster second half, and I am looking for him to continue that tonight against one of the worst teams in baseball: the White Sox. Altuve and the Astros are up against Miguel Gonzalez tonight, and with the way Altuve has hit right-handed pitching so far this season, I see another big night for one of baseball’s smallest stars.
Gonzalez has allowed lefties to smack a .365 wOBA and .515 slugging percentage this season through 221 total batters faced. The power allowed to lefties is not something Altuve will necessarily take advantage of, but if he is getting on base, which I think he will, there are some big bats both left and right-handed which should be able to drive him home.
Furthermore, Altuve has been a monster this season against righties. He owns a .370 average and a .422 wOBA against right-handed pitching and his BABIP against them is .401. His road stats have also been very good, so I expect another big night from the AL MVP leader.Free MLB Pick: 'Over' 2½ (-145)Best Lines Offered: Bovada
Ryan Braun O/U 2 Runs, Hits & RBIs
With how hot Braun has been over his last three games, I am very surprised to see his runs, hits and RBIs total sitting at just 2. He and the Brewers are up against Twins right-hander Bartolo Colon in this one, and I have serious doubts in Colon’s ability to retire Brewers bats.
Colon has allowed three to four runs in each of his four starts with the Twins so far this season, and with Braun uncorking eight hits in his last 13 at-bats, he is hot enough to jump on some early Colon pitches.
While Braun’s splits against righties hasn’t been as good this season, his second half stats so far have been good enough for me to trust him to get the better of big boy Colon tonight. Braun has a .324 average and .383 wOBA over 81 second-half plate appearances, so look for him to be a strong value play without much chalk on the 'over.'Free MLB Pick: 'Over' 2 (-115)