Washington Climbs All Over the Rockies

Doug Upstone

Thursday, April 27, 2017 1:38 PM UTC

Thursday, Apr. 27, 2017 1:38 PM UTC

It is the final confrontation in a four-game series between Washington and Colorado on Thursday, and it has been fun with plenty of runs crossing home plate for both teams. Will it continue this afternoon?

The MLB odds on the total for Thursday's game between Washington and Colorado went down almost immediately with the sportsbooks' release from 11.5 to 11; thus, that bears watching further.


Pitching Matchup: Gonzalez Vs. Senzatela

Gio Gonzalez (2-0, 1.35 ERA) can be a perplexing pitcher, both for opposing hitters and those generating MLB picks. Thus far the life is back in his four-seam fastball and his array of curves with various speeds is working like in the past when Gonzalez was in a good groove. Coming off a poor 2016 season by his standards, the left-hander has pitched at least six innings in all four starts. Gonzalez is 3-0 with a 3.86 ERA against Colorado in four starts.

Antonio Senzatela (3-0, 2.02) has been sensational for Colorado and has shown why he is one of the team's top prospects. The right-hander has better than a 4-to-1 K/W ratio, and opposing hitters are batting just .202 against him. Going against veteran lineup like Washington's will be a great test.


Both Offenses In High Gear

Right from the start of the season, the Nationals' offense has been high gear, and recently they have taken it to next level in scoring 7.5 runs per contest in their past eight outings. Bryce Harper (.824 slugging percentage), Ryan Zimmerman (.800) and Daniel Murphy (.568) have been sizzling hot like a grill of steaks at Morton's.

Colorado was winning strangely to open the season, mostly with pitching and the offense that was under 4.0 RPG. Now Nolan Arenado (.321 BA), Mark Reynolds (.333) and the rest of the Rockies are swinging the lumber, and they have hung 7 RPG in their past eight tries.


Betting Odds, History & Bullpen Numbers

We already talked about the total and the money line finds the Nats at -125. Since 2015, Washington holds a 5-4 edge at Coors Field, and the total is 5-3-1 'under.' Washington has the worst bullpen in the NL, with opposing batters hitting .285 and permitting 13 home runs. Colorado's bullpen has taken some shots in this series to fall second to sixth in ERA, yet remains first in save percentage.


The Winner Is ... 

While we like the Rockies' young pitcher, Gonzalez is a strong veteran who has enjoyed success vs. Colorado, and the Washington offense is just scalding right now and we will pick the Nationals to win this afternoon and take the series.

Free MLB Pick: Nationals -117Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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