Verlander-Carrasco Will Have Indians-Tigers Go 'Over' Total Odds as Detroit -104 Wins SU

Darin Zank

Saturday, June 13, 2015 12:55 PM UTC

Saturday, Jun. 13, 2015 12:55 PM UTC

This handicapper hit the two-pick parlay on Friday's Indians-Tigers series opener. We'll shoot for a repeat of that performance for Saturday's Game 2.

Indians-Tigers Saturday Betting Odds
As of early Saturday morning the best price we could find on Detroit and Justin Verlander was the -104 offered at Pinnacle, while Heritage was “giving” Cleveland and Carlos Carrasco -102. And most shops were listing the total on today's game at eight runs.


The Situation
Detroit took the opener of this series Friday night 4-0 behind a complete-game shutout from David Price and four RBI from Miggy. The Tigers, to our delight, won as -130 favorites on Friday's betting line, and the game played UNDER its total of seven runs.

The Kitties now lead the season series with the Tribe six games to one, with the OVERS going 5-2.

Yes, it's early, but Detroit (32-29) picked up a game in both the AL Central and AL wild-card race with Friday's victory. Cleveland (28-32), meanwhile, is now four games back of that second wild-card spot.


Saturday's Starters
Verlander will be making his first start of this season, after recovery from a strained triceps suffered this spring. Last year JV went 15-12/4.54, going 16-for-32 on quality starts. Last week, in a rehab performance down at Triple-A Toledo Verlander allowed one run and four hits through 5 2/3 innings, with nine strikeouts. So perhaps he's ready to go.

Last year Verlander started five times against the Tribe, allowing 16 earned runs through 30 1/3 innings. The Tigers won three of those games, and four of those games played OVER.

Carrasco (7-5, 4.35) was hot, giving up just four runs through his previous three starts (three Cleveland wins), but last Sunday he got nicked for five runs in less than five innings in a loss against Baltimore. Perhaps that just puts him in line for a bounce-back effort today.

Since the beginning of last season Carrasco has started three times against Detroit, including a losing effort back in April, allowing a total of 10 runs through 16 innings. The Indians lost all three of those games.

Must Read: This capper also previews today's matchup between Phillies-Pirates

Indians-Tigers Saturday Free Picks
Detroit has won four of its last five games, while Cleveland has lost four of its last five. We like the Tigers today. Also, over the last season-plus these two starting pitchers are a combined 6-2 on the OVERS against today opponents.

MLB Picks: Detroit -104 at Pinnacle and OVER eight runs (-110) at WagerWeb

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