Value on Yankees Moneyline vs. Bluejays

Willie Bee

Friday, August 29, 2014 2:49 PM UTC

Friday, Aug. 29, 2014 2:49 PM UTC

The Yankees and Blue Jays are on the outside looking in at the American League playoffs, making this weekend's MLB odds series in Toronto huge for both clubs.

Derek Jeter will be honored by the Toronto Blue Jays on Friday night in the series opener against the New York Yankees.  Toronto will then try to spoil the New York captain's farewell party as both teams are locked in a desperate struggle to try and make the American League playoffs.

The lid-lifter on the set continues a streak for yours truly with a 4th-conseuctive preview for SBR that involves a pair of lefthanders on the mound.  Veterans Chris Capuano and Mark Buehrle match up in this 7:07 PM (ET) start at Rogers Centre, and the contest is a pick 'em at several shops listed on SBR's live MLB odds, a few outlets making the Jays very slight favorites, with a 9 run total also among the baseball betting options.

This will be the final series of the season in Toronto between the two clubs, the previous six games on this diamond split down the middle.  New York took two of three back in early-April, the Blue Jays returning that favor in June with a 2-1 series victory.  Four of the six at Rogers Centre this year have gone past the total, and the teams will wrap up their regular season series about three weeks from now in New York where a long, 4-game weekend set is on the slate.

Capuano Still Searching For 1st Win With New York
New York (69-63, -0.6 units, 54-75-3 O/U/P) is continuing a weeklong road trip with this series, beginning the trek with a win in Kansas City to take care of a rainout from back in June and proceeding on to Detroit where the Yankees dropped two of three.  The two setbacks to the Tigers are the only blemishes on their record in the last week, and the pitching staff has stepped up during the 6-2 stretch with only 23 runs coming plateward against them.

Capuano made his Yankees debut against the Blue Jays in late-July, and pitched well only to earn a no-decision in what was eventually a 6-4 Toronto win in the Bronx.  He has yet to earn a dubya in six assignments for New York, though the Yanks have won two of them, including a 7-4 decision vs. the White Sox last Sunday.

The former Duke star also saw the Jays three times as a reliever for the Red Sox earlier this year, Capuano's two appearances at Rogers Centre totaling 1.1 innings with all four outs coming via the K.  His two previous starts on this diamond were a mixed bag, one ugly outing while with the Dodgers last season (4.1 IP, 5 ER) and one winning effort way back in 2005 while Capuano was toiling for the Brewers.

Buehrle Seeking Just 2nd Career Win Against Yankees
Toronto (67-66, -1.5 units, 64-65-4 O/U/P) enjoyed a day off Thursday after dropping consecutive series to Tampa Bay and Boston on this homestand.  August has been a month to forget for the Blue Jays who sat just 1.5-games out of the AL East lead on July 31, only to go 7-16 since then to drop just a game above .500 entering this set.

Buehrle didn't have any luck facing the Yankees while he was with the White Sox, and that has followed him to Toronto the past two seasons.  The 35-year-old will be making his eighth start vs. New York since joining the Blue Jays, and Toronto's lone win in the previous seven came during the late-June series at Rogers Centre.  A huge issue for Buehrle the last two years has been keeping pitches to Yankees in the yard, serving up 10 homers to New York in the span of just over 40 innings.

The roof at the old Skydome should be open for Friday's fracas, but the forecast is a bit iffy the rest of the weekend.  First pitch this evening should find the thermometer sitting on 70º with a few clouds in the skies above Toronto and a 10 mph SE breeze (out to left).

It's not that I'm brimming with confidence in Capuano that leads me to make my MLB pick in New York, but rather a complete lack of confidence in Buehrle given his track record against the pinstripes.

MLB pick: Yankees +105

Season: 107-113-8 (-6.85)

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