Valuable Underdog for Monday's MLB Picks: Giants vs. Dodgers

David Lawrence

Monday, April 27, 2015 1:02 PM GMT

Monday, Apr. 27, 2015 1:02 PM GMT

Consider the MLB betting trends for this matchup. So far this season, the Giants are 8-11, but only 5-11 against teams other than the Dodgers. The Dodgers are 11-7, but the Giants swept them last week.

The San Francisco Giants Can Win Because…
They are going to have the better pitcher, regardless of what manager Bruce Bochy decides. The Giants were rained out in Denver on Sunday, as their game against the Colorado Rockies was postponed. The game was also called two hours in advance, which enabled the Giants to get out of town early and not face as quick a turnaround. They should be ready to go for this game, and whichever pitcher they choose should be ready to contain the Dodgers.

Madison Bumgarner, who needs no introduction, was the originally scheduled starter. He went 6 1/3 innings last week against the Dodgers, giving up only one run. He is so dominant when he’s on, and against the Dodgers, he should be able to lock in and play his best. However, if he’s not the selected starter, the other choice can get the job done as well.

Due to the postponement of Sunday’s game against Colorado, Tim Lincecum could be pushed to Monday as the Giants’ starter. He has a lower ERA than Bumgarner, and when he faced the Dodgers last week, he gave up just one run in six innings. Either way, San Francisco is in good shape with the pitching matchup. The Dodgers’ Brett Anderson was tagged by San Francisco last week. He gave up four runs in four innings, and what’s more is that the run total could have been much worse. Anderson gave up nine hits, but spread out so that he didn’t suffer greater damage. San Francisco has to think that it can rough up Anderson on Monday.

 

The Los Angeles Dodgers Can Win Because…
They are playing solid baseball. The Dodgers are 11-4 against teams other than San Francisco, and they should think that, first of all, playing good baseball is something that should lead to more consistency as the season goes along. The Dodgers’ sweep loss to the Giants last week was an aberration. MLB odds' favored Los Angeles can right the ship this week and feel confident that it can restore some balance to the season series with its rival.

Here’s a fact about the Dodgers’ pitching that should make them really upbeat about Monday’s game: Los Angeles’ pitching staff has given up no more than three runs in four of the Dodgers’ last five games. Two of the losses last week against San Francisco were 3-2 decisions. It’s not as though the Giants blew out L.A. The games were close, and one hit or out decided the issue. The Dodgers blew a save in one instance. All Los Angeles has to do is get that one timely hit or make a couple extra pitches in the ninth inning to turn the tables on San Francisco.

 

Outlook
The Los Angeles Dodgers are a good team, but they just don’t match up well in terms of starting pitching in this game. Go with the San Francisco Giants with your MLB pick.

MLB Pick: San Francisco +133 at YouWager

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