Valuable MLB Picks for Monday Night

Joe Catalano

Monday, April 21, 2014 2:57 PM GMT

It’s the start of a new week and we have a few games that really stand out in giving the bettor the edge. Watch as we translate these edges into wins with our picks of the day.

Joe C. Record

23-23 -5.82 Units

I went .500 for the first couple of months last season until things really took off. The same thing will happen this season with a bit of patience. Stick with me and you’ll benefit from these free offerings. The longer that the season goes on, the more predictable that the games become.

 

Miami Marlins (9-10) vs. Atlanta Braves (12-6)
All They Do Is Win
I’ve been saying this about the Atlanta Braves for the last decade and no matter what squad that they put on the field, all they do is win baseball games.

Some of it is attributed to good managing, some of it is their “team oriented” style of play, and the rest is due to good pitching and players like Freddie Freeman and Justin Upton who are currently “locked in”.

The Braves face a much improved Miami Marlins team with  some key new acquisitions such as Jarrod Saltalamcchia (.397 OBP.), Casey McGehee (15 RBI, .300 BA), and Garrett Jones (2 HR, 9 RBI). These players compliment the returning and maturing player on the Marlins roster in Giancarlo Stanton, Christian Yelich, and Marcell Ozuna.

In all, the Marlins offense has 6 players hitting over .280 and with Saltalamacchia handling the pitching in grand style. This team is much improved. The only knock against Miami is their inability to win on the road. They’re 0-6 on the road and that gives Julio Teheran (2-1, 1.93) and the Braves a major edge in this matchup.

Teheran is coming off of a complete game shutout, allowing just 3 hits. Also, superstar Freddie Freeman is tearing the cover off of the baseball as of late as he leads the Braves in every major statistical category. Miami’s best won’t be good enough at Atlanta.

MLB Pick: Atlanta -180 at Bet 365

[gameodds]3/262468/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Houston Astros (5-14) vs. Seattle Mariners (7-11)
Good Pitching Wins
I’m going to do something that might not be favorable with followers because a team can lose at any given time, but when you have “King” Felix Hernandez (3-0, 1.91) facing an awful offensive team like Houston, you take the chalk.

In this case, you’re laying a ton of juice and I’m just not willing to take the runline with a Seattle team that hasn’t played up to its potential with the key acquisition of Robinson Cano.

 

Extreme
The odds are extreme as the Mariners are a -254 betting favorite and the Houston Astros starting lineup is extremely bad as they average a collective .192 (BA) as a team. This team is hitting below the Mendoza Line!

Aside from that, the Astros rank 30th in runs, 30th in on-base percentage, and 29th in slugging percentage.

Players like Jose Altuve (6 RBI, .280 BA, 8 SB) and Jason Castro (3 HR, 6 RBI) have potential, but it’s just not enough, especially against the best pitcher in the American League in the last decade in Felix Hernandez.  The Astros won’t be able to touch Hernandez. Lay the massive amount of juice with the M’s.

MLB Pick: Seattle -254 at Bet 365

[gameodds]3/262475/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]