Valuable MLB Picks for Monday Night

Joe Catalano

Monday, April 14, 2014 12:24 PM GMT

Monday, Apr. 14, 2014 12:24 PM GMT

We start off the new week in the MLB with some very suspect pitching matchups. Could we possibly see some high scoring games or underdogs hitting? Time to handicap today’s  matchups and toss the betting public a pair of W’s.

Joe C. Record

17-15 -2.52 Units

New York Mets (5-7) at Arizona Diamondbacks (4-11)
Future Pitching Ace?
I must admit that I’m a huge Zack Wheeler supporter as I think that this guy has great stuff and a very bright future. If he wants to continue his playing career with the Mets, he most like won’t be an ace because the Mets have Matt Harvey, but a lot of people are underestimating what this kid is capable of doing.

Wheeler gets a great spot on the road, facing a Diamondbacks teams that is just 1-8 at home. After losing yesterday’s start against the Dodgers 8-6, Diamondbacks starter, Trevor Cahill, is already 0-4 on the season and we’re only a couple of weeks in.

The D’Backs have some more than capable hitters in the form of Parra, Hill, Goldschmidt, and Trumbo, but their starting pitching has been their downfall. Out of the regular starters, Wade Miley leads the pitching staff with a 5.04 ERA; that’s as bad as it gets.

 

Non-Existent Offense
The New York Mets have the exact opposite problem as Arizona; they can’t hit the baseball. New York ranks 17th in the league in runs, 29th in batting average, 28th in on-base percentage, and 29th in slugging percentage. With the exception of Juan Lagares (1 HR, 7 RBI, .319 BA), this team has been awful offensively.

David Wright, who signed a huge contract in the off-season, has gotten off to a terrible start and may never be the player that the Mets had hoped that he would be and the Mets have to scrap for every run that they can get. Guys like Lucas Duda and Eric Young specialize in power and speed, but Duda can barely hit his weight and although Young has 6 steals on the season, he’s hitting below the Mendoza Line.

This isn’t an attractive matchup, but the rule is that good pitching beats good hitting and the pitching of Zack Wheeler will be key in this game as the Mets serve up the Diamondbacks another home loss.

MLB Pick: New York Mets +115 at Bet 365

[gameodds]3/261869/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Pittsburgh Pirates (6-6) at Cincinnati Reds (4-8)
Slow Starts
Both of these teams had big seasons last year and met in the “play-in” game for the wild card spot. If they hope to reach that level or further this season, they must play better than they have thus far in 2014.


Turning Point?
The Reds have been the worst of the two teams, but they may have hit a turning point on Sunday when their offense came up huge against a good team.

Cincinnati defeated the Tampa Bay Rays 12-4 on Sunday and their bats were out in full force. While the meat of the Reds batting order in Votto, Phillips, and Bruce were a collective 5 for 10 with 4 walks, 6 runs, 1 HR and 2 RBI’s, the day belonged to catcher Devin Mesoraco as he went 2 for 3 with 1 HR and 4 RBI.

 

Homer Bailey
The Reds need another big day from their bats and Homer Bailey (0-1, 7.71) will need to pitch a lot better than in his 1st- 2 starts of the season.

Bailey is a very serviceable pitcher when he has his good stuff working for him. Thus far it hasn’t  worked as he’s gotten beaten up by the St.Louis Cardinals twice and hasn’t made it past the 5th inning in either start. Look for Bailey to pitch well at home and keep Cincinnati in this ball game.

As for the Pirates, they’ve been nothing to write home about themselves. Andrew McCutchen has gotten off to a very slow start (4 RBI, .233 BA) and while Pedro Alvarez has displayed great strength (5 HR, 10 RBI), he hasn’t been able to hit for average and that’s always been the knock on Alvarez.

Cincy was quite impressive yesterday, have the home field advantage, and expect the momentum to carry over from Sunday for our MLB picks.

MLB Pick: Cincinnati Reds -120 at Bet 365 

[gameodds]3/261865/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

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