Upset Alert: Lean Towards Underdog in Orioles vs. Twins

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, July 7, 2015 11:21 AM GMT

Our resident MLB handicapping professional breaks down Tuesday’s game between Baltimore and Minnesota. Join us in reading this insightful betting preview article which concludes with a money line pick.

Orioles look to Rebound versus Twins on Tuesday
Minnesota hosts Baltimore tonight in the second of a three game series. Minnesota won the series opener on Monday 4-2  and the game easily stayed under the total of 8.0. These teams have gone 7-7 in their fourteen encounters since 2013.

 

Starting Pitchers
The Orioles Kevin Gausman will make his third start of the season tonight. He’s been solid in his first two with a 1.59 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Gausman has made one career start versus the Twins and it came last season. He allowed 4 earned runs on 5 hits and walked 2 in 7 1/3 innings pitched during that outing.

Minnesota’s Kyle Gibson will get the starting assignment on Tuesday. He’s displayed stellar form over his last three starts with a 1.83 ERA. As a matter of fact, Gibson’s entire body of work in 2015 has been very good. In sixteen starts this season Gibson has posted a stellar 3.04 ERA.

 

Orioles Update
As a result of their loss on Monday, Baltimore has now gone 2-6 in their last eight games. The Orioles are hitting a dismal .207 as a team during their previous seven games. They’ve gone 5-1 under the total in the last six, and 8-2-1 under in their previous eleven games. The Orioles have gone a more than respectable 10-6 in away games during the day, and are a horrible 5-17 on the road at night.

 

Twins Tidbits
The Minnesota Twins have gone a very good 26-15 (.634) at home this season. Their pitching and defense have been terrific in recent games. Minnesota has allowed 3 runs or less in each of their previous six games. The Twins have also committed just a combined 4 fielding errors during their last ten games, and played errorless baseball in seven of those ten outings. They’re 5-0-1 under the total during its previous six games.

 

Final Analysis
The Twins are just 4-3 in their last seven games but they’re not beating themselves. All three of those setbacks have come as a result of one run losses. I’m going to lean toward the money line home underdog in this game for one of my MLB picks on Tuesday. Betonline.com provides me with the best betting value in that regard.

MLB Pick: Twins +106 on the money line at Betonline.com.