Unstoppable Chris Sale To Make 'Under' The MLB Pick In Astros vs. White Sox

LT Profits Sports Group

Thursday, May 19, 2016 5:16 PM UTC

Thursday, May. 19, 2016 5:16 PM UTC

The undefeated Chris Sale could be on his way to a Cy Young Award for the White Sox and with Collin McHugh probably better than his record for the Astros, ‘under’ is the MLB pick.

MLB Record: 25-22-1, +6.47

Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox
The probable favorite for the American League Cy Young Award could key an ‘under’ vs. a potentially underrated foe Thursday night when the talented but underperforming right-hander Collin McHugh and the Houston Astros (17-24, 7-14 away) pay a visit to undefeated southpaw Chris Sale and the Chicago White Sox (24-16, 10-7 home) in the finale of a three-game series from U.S. Cellular Field in Chicago, IL at 8:10 ET on Comcast SportsNet - Chicago. The posted total at Bookmaker is 7 for this contest with the current MLB odds on the ‘under’ set at +100.


Great Year for Chicago
This has been a great baseball season for the city of Chicago so far as not only do the Cubs own the best record in baseball, but these White Sox also lead the American League Central by 2½ games over the second place Cleveland Indians. With that being said, the White Sox have suddenly lost four games in a row including the first two games of this series, although they are now trying to stop the bleeding with one of the best pitchers in all of baseball.

The Astros have had a disappointing start after being the favorites before the start of this season to win the American League West and also after some prominent periodicals predicted the Astros would win the World Series. Instead Houston is in last place, but at least it is only six games behind the first place Seattle Mariners and it may be turning the corner as the winning MLB pick the last two nights vs. the first place Sox.

Cy Sale?
Sale has put up great seasons before, but he has always pitched for poor Chicago teams and never had the record he deserved. Now he is actually getting some support from a good team and the results have been phenomenal, as Sale is 8-0 with a 1.67 ERA and a terrific ratio of 53 strikeouts vs. 10 walks in 59.1 innings. Our personal rankings have Sale as the second best pitcher in baseball behind Clayton Kershaw, so he could be on his way to his first Cy Young.

On top of all this, there are few teams that Sale enjoys facing more than his opponents tonight from Houston. That is because in four career starts vs. the Astros Sale has a 0.56 ERA, 0.72 WHIP and an amazing 47 strikeouts in 32 innings vs. just four walks! In his last three starts vs. Houston, Sale has struck out 14, 12 and 14 batters respectively while allowing two earned runs over 24 innings.

Furthermore, the Astros have not hit well against southpaws as of late, batting .216 while averaging 2.21 runs per nine innings vs. left-handers over the last 10 games, and obviously none of those lefties were of Sale’s caliber.


McHugh Capable of Better
Not unlike his team as a whole, McHugh has also been a disappointment early on at 4-3 but with a bloated 5.58 ERA and 1.71 WHIP. Still, McHugh has shown the last two years that he is a much better pitcher than that, and we feel that he should at least do his part here in keeping the White Sox in check to help this ‘under’ along, especially if the Astros do next to nothing vs. Sale as we expect.

After all, this is still the same pitcher that nearly won the American League ERA title at 2.73 two years ago while posting a 3.11 FIP, and he then proved that 2014 was not a fluke by going 19-7 with a 3.58 FIP last year. It has been more of a struggle this season, but then again McHugh has also been unlucky in allowing an insane .377 BABIP, and he should begin to come closer to his form of the last couple of years once that BABIP stabilizes.

And it certainly does not hurt that he is catching the White Sox in the midst of their worst slump of the season now that we are just past the one-quarter mark of the year.


Trending the ‘under’
Finally, the ‘under’ is 6-1 in the last seven head-to-head meetings between these two teams overall as we’ll as 8-2 in the last 10 meetings here in Chicago. The ‘under’ is also 8-2 in the White Sox last 10 home games vs. right-handed starters, as well as 37-17-6 in the Astros’ last 60 games vs. the American League Central.

Given Sale being in Cy Young form and McHugh capable of regressing to his great form of the last two seasons at any time, look for those trends to continue for one more night with another ‘under’ when the Houston Astros visit the Chicago White Sox in the Windy City on Thursday.

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Free MLB Pick: Under 7
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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