In what seems to be an underrated pitching matchup I'm going to back under the total with the Washington Nationals and the Los Angeles Dodgers.
MLB odds makers came out with this line at 7 which actually makes sense when we break down the numbers. The good thing about this number is that you can get under the total at either low juice or even money. Right now at Pinnacle sports book you get under the total of 7 at +100. That is good value on what could be an overlooked pitcher's duel.
Gio Gonzalez gets the call for Washington and comes in with a 3.75 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 105 strikeouts, and up 8-4 record. Those numbers are a little bit above his career averages, but this veteran pitcher has shown signs of coming around. In his last five starts he has only allowed seven total earned runs over 26 innings in both home and away outings. Although the Dodgers are one of the best teams in the major leagues at hitting against left-handers, they are just coming back from a tough series against the Pirates and might be a little road weary. Combine that with the fact that Gonzalez has been sharp of late and I think the Dodgers might struggle little bit at the plate against him today.
Washington has taken a turn for the worse recently as the New York Mets continue to surge. On the offensive end they haven't been bad though and overall they rank 15th in the major leagues in runs scored per game at 4.17, 16th in OPS at .708, and 22nd in team batting average hitting .249. They are a pretty good road hitting team but their OPS drops almost 20 points against left-handers. Look for them to have limited success against the Los Angeles starter.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Brett Anderson has put up some solid numbers so far this year for the Dodgers and comes in with a 3.06 ERA, 1.28 whip, 86 strikeouts, and a 6-6 record. He is one of the more underrated pitchers in the major leagues in my opinion and with Alex Wood gives the Dodgers two solid left-handed starters along with some other lefty whose name I simply can't remember. Anderson has been great at keeping the hit totals to minimum in his last 10 starts and in his last three starts he has only allowed four total earned runs over 15 innings. Overall since the beginning of June he has been superb and only allowed four runs just once in his last 10 starts.
At the plate the Dodgers have been swinging the bat pretty well lately and overall they rank 12th in runs scored per game at 4.19, fifth in OPS at .756, and again 12th in team batting average hitting .255. Granted all those averages go up at home, in their last four games this season coming back from a road trip they have only scored five total runs. It is usually a tough spot for any team to come back and play at home that first game back after being on the road. Look for the Dodgers to continue that low-scoring trend against a quality pitcher like Gonzalez.
This is a crucial series for both teams and this pitching matchup should not be overlooked. With the Dodgers coming back from the road, and Washington struggling overall look for both of these pitchers to put up some zeros today on the board. The number also tells us a lot, and although it looks low don't buy into it, back the under with your MLB picks.
MLB Pick: Under 7 at Pinnacle