Underdog Value: Pick Angels +120 & Go 'Over' MLB Odds Total

Darin Zank

Saturday, June 20, 2015 11:20 AM GMT

Saturday, Jun. 20, 2015 11:20 AM GMT

Anaheim used a late rally to beat Oakland Friday night. The Angels and Jered Weaver are underdogs for Saturday's match-up with the A's, and this handicapper likes that proposition.

Angels-A's Saturday Betting Odds
As of early Saturday morning the best price we could find on Oakland and Jesse Hahn was the -124 offered at 5Dimes, while Anaheim and Jered Weaver were getting +120 at WagerWeb.

 

The Situation
Anaheim took the opener of this series Friday night 12-7, rallying from a 7-2 deficit to score 10 runs over the last three innings. The Angels (35-33) now lead the season series over the A's (29-41) seven games to four, with the OVERS going 9-2.

 

Saturday's Starters
Hahn (4-5, 3.62), by our strict standards, is only four-for-13 on quality starts this season, but two for his last three. Last time out he held San Diego to one run through 6 2/3 innings, and over his last three starts he's allowed six runs through 17 1/3 innings. For the season Oakland is 5-8 in Hahn's starts, with the totals skewing OVER by a 9-4 margin.

In his only career start against the Angels, back in April, Hahn gave up three runs through five innings of a 6-3 Oakland defeat.

Weaver (4-7, 4.65) is only six-for-14 on quality starts this season, and by our tough accounting 0 for his last four. Last time out he gave up five runs – four earned – through seven innings against Arizona, and over his last four starts he's allowed 18 ER and 34 hits through 26 2/3 innings. For the season Weaver has given up 98 hits, including 16 ding-dongs, through 91 innings; Anaheim is 6-8 in Weaver's starts, with the totals leaning UNDER 7-6.

Since the beginning of last season Weaver has started six times against Oakland, allowing 19 ER through 38 innings; the Angels lost four of those games, and four of those games played OVER.

Must Read: World Series Future Odds Update

Free Saturday Picks
The value on today's line resides with the Angels. Also, games played at the O.co Coliseum this season are 22-10 on the OVERS, and while that trend might eventually reverse itself, we'll play it to continue today.

Picks: Angels +120 at Wagerweb  and OVER 7.5 runs (+107) at Pinnacle

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