Underdog Value in Giants vs. Pirates NL Wild Card Picks

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, October 1, 2014 11:55 AM GMT

Read this informative article which concludes with a money line MLB free pick for the NL Wild Card game tonight between the Giants/Pirates. 

NL Wild Card Battle at PNC Park
The Pirates will host the Giants tonight in the National League Wild card game at PNC Stadium in Pittsburgh with the first pitch slated for 8:05 PM ET. According to MLB betting odds, the Giants are a -115 money line road favorite, and the posted total is 6.5. The Pirates have gone 4-2 versus the Giants this season.

 

The Starting Pitchers
The Giants will send Madison Bumgarner to the hill tonight for this win or take all game. The southpaw has been brilliant on the road this season (as evidenced by the MLB odds) going 13-5 against the money, compiling a 2.22 ERA, a 0.98 WHIP, and a better than 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. However, he’s gone 0-2 against the money versus the Pirates the last 2-seasons with a sizable 6.00 ERA.

The Pirates will counter with Edinson Volquez for this sudden death scenario. Volquez has displayed excellent form over his last 3-starts by posting a microscopic 0.43 ERA. The Pirates hurler has gone a profitable 11-6 at home this season with a solid 3.12 ERA. As a matter of fact, he’s gone 4-1 versus the money in his last 5-starts at PNC Park, and had an outstanding 1.04 ERA.

 

Giants Attempt to Turn the Postseason Switch
The Giants are playing this one game playoff on the road simply because they lost 9 of their last 15 regular season games, including 5 of the last 6 on the road. This is a Giants team with plenty of postseason experience, and has won 2 World Series titles in recent years, and playing on the road should have little effect on this bunch.

 

Superior Home Field Advantage
The Pirates have been terrific at home this year going 51-30 (.630). Pittsburgh finished the season on a torrid late run that saw them go 17-5 over their last 22-games. The Pirates also went a red-hot 31-12 (.721) over their last 43 home games.

 

Final Analysis
I know the Giants have been there and done that, but it’s hard for me to ignore how well the Pirates performed down the stretch, and the domination they’ve displayed at home, as those who have placed their MLB picks on them can confirm. This Pittsburgh club gained valuable experience in last season’s postseason which should pay dividends this evening.

Free Pick: Pirates +105 over the Giants at Pinnacle

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