Two Ways To Beat The Odds In Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Matinee

Kevin Stott

Monday, April 18, 2016 11:34 AM UTC

Monday, Apr. 18, 2016 11:34 AM UTC

Red Sox and Blue Jays will wrap up their 4-game AL East series on Monday morning at Fenway Park in Boston. Let’s look at the series and MLB pick as another baseball week begins.

Odds Overview
Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox [Monday 19:05] (NESN, MLB Network, SNET, MLB Extra Innings 1, MLB Extra Innings 2, Directv 213, Directv 628 (US), 11:05 a.m. EDT/8:05 a.m. PDT): The fourth and final game of this AL East Series will see left-hander JA Happ (1-0, 2.25 ERA, 8 K’s) and the Toronto Blue Jays (6-7, 3-4 Road) facing righty Clay Buchholz (0-1, 10.00 ERA, 9 Ks) and the Boston Red Sox (6-5, 3-3 Home) at Fenway Park on Monday morning.

Offshore Oddsmakers have the Red Sox priced as -111 Home favorites with the visiting Blue Jays lined at +105 Road Underdogs (BetOnline) with the Total (Runs) opening at 9½ 'Under' -115 (at BetOnline). The Run Line MLB odds see Boston -1½ priced at +178 with the Blue Jays +1½ at -202 (Heritage). Boston took Games 1 and 2 of the series (5-3, 4-2) on Friday and Saturday but Toronto bounced back with a 5-3 win on Sunday to give themselves a chance of splitting the series—and getting to .500—(7-7) with a victory here at Boston.

Must Read: Handicapper Jay Price Predicts Stats For Blue Jays vs. Red Sox

Toronto Blue Jays
The Toronto Blue Jays (14/1 to win World Series, Paddy Power) and Manager John Gibbons got a nice 2-Hit, 1-Run performance from Starter Aaron Sanchez on Sunday as the Toronto hurler took a No-Hitter into the 5th Inning against the Red Sox and ended up earning a 5-3 win and stopping a mini 2-game Bluebirds slide.

In the win Gibbons starting Lineup was: LF Michael Saunders, 3B Josh Donaldson, RF José Bautista, DH Edwin Encarnacion, SS Troy Tulowitzki, 1B Chris Colabello, C Russell Martin, CF Kevin Pillar, 2B Ryan Goins with the aforementioned Sanchez getting the start and pitching brilliantly.

In the Win, AL MVP Donaldson (25/1 to win MLB Home Run Title, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook), Encarnacion (25/1 to win MLB Home Run Title, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) and Bautista (25/1 to win MLB Home Run Title, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) both went 2-for-5 with Bautista bashing a Home Run and having 2 RBI in a game in which the Blue Jays never trailed and one they really needed especially heading in with a 1-4 Record against the Bosox.


Boston Red Sox
The Boston Red Sox (14/1 to win World Series, PaddyPower) got a decent Pitching performance again from Steven Wright in the Loss Sunday at Home in the friendly confines of Fenway Park and in his Starting Lineup, Boston Manager John Farrell had LF Mookie Betts, SS Xander Bogaerts, DH David Ortiz, 1B Hanley Ramirez, 3B Travis Shaw, LF Chris Young, CF Jackie Bradley Jr., C Ryan Hanigan, 2B Marco Hernandez with Wright the Red Sox Starter.

Only Betts, Ramirez, Shaw (2-run HR off closer Roberto Osuna)—who is batting .314 and continues to impress—and Hernandez could manage Hits as Boston struck out 10 times and saw its modest 2-game Win Streak halted. Farrell rested starting 2B Dustin Pedroia in Sunday’s game,s o expect him in the lineup here on Monday.


Recent Series Trends, Pitchers Report, Umpires Rotation, Thoughts and MLB picks
Even after Sunday’s Loss, the Red Sox have still W6 of the 8 in this AL East series with 5 of those 8 being played in Toronto. The 'Under' has W4 in a row now in the series with 8, 6, 8 and 3 Runs being pushed across the plate in the L4 games and the 'Under' is also 7-4 in the L11 in the series.

But the Blue Jays will have talented southpaw JA Happ going for the them and he has allowed 2 Runs or less in 11 of his L12 starts, so after struggling with Sanchez on Sunday and the relatively early morning (11:05 a.m. EDT) start the Boston bats may be quiet. In limited Plate Appearances, Happ has handled both Boston sluggers Ortiz (.231, 0 HR, 0 RBI) and Ramirez (.143, 1-for-7). Red Sox righty Buchholz (13-9, 3,40 ERA Lifetime vs Blue Jays) has been semi-rocked in his L2 Starts, allowing 11 Hits and 10 Earned Runs in his first 2 Starts of the season.

So, he’s facing the wrong MLB lineup at the wrong time to be allowing so many Hits and ER’s and this is a definite edge to Toronto in this game, even on the sacred Patriots’ Day where Boston has historically done pretty good, although not as well as of late. Russell Martin (.333, 4 HRs) has done pretty well against Buchholz as have some others in limited At Bats but the Offensive edge heading in here is definitely with the Blue Jays in this spot.

The Weather Forecast for Boston on Monday calls for Partly Cloudy skies and a High of 59°, so somewhat Chilly conditions but not the end of the world but the fact this is the 4th game of a 4-gamer which started on Thursday along with the early Boston Marathon-tied start seems good for nothingness and Runs being slowly scored 1 at a time. Toronto (+650 to win American League, Paddy Power) can split the series and tie Boston (6/1 to win American League, at William Hill) in the AL East standings with .500 Records with a Win, and with happ going, Toronto at the more than fair price is the look as well as the 'Under' with that streak of 4 straight and possible ability to have trouble for both teams getting up for the earliest start of the year. And if you want to bet this, remember that it is a really,really early first pitch for thos living out West (8:05 a.m PDT, Las Vegas).

Umpires: Home Plate – Will Little, First Base – Ted Barrett, Second Base – Ángel Hernández, Third Base – Lance Barksdale.


Predicted Final Score: Blue Jays 5 Red Sox 3
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Free MLB Pick: Blue Jays +101, 'Under' 9½ -115
Best Line Offered: at Heritageat Sportsbetting

MLB Assignment Record Last Week: (4-1) – Season: (6-5)

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