Our MLB consultant shares his two top totals on Saturday’s card. Read what he has to say about totals in games between the White Sox/Tigers and Cubs/Cardinals.
White Sox (Danks) vs. Tigers (Ryan) 4:08 PM ET
The White Sox veteran southpaw John Danks enters today’s start in very bad form. In his last four starts, Danks has posted a lofty 6.45 ERA, and the White Sox went 0-4. He’s made one start versus Detroit this season and it wasn’t very good outing. Danks allowed 5 earned runs on 11 hits in just 4 2/3 innings during a 7-1 loss. The White Sox bullpen has performed horribly on the road in 2015, posting a staff ERA of 4.91, and had a collectively terrible 1.73 WHIP. The White Sox are 3-0-2 over the total in their last five, and there was a combined average of 10.8 runs per game scored.
The Tigers Kyle Ryan will make his fourth start of the season on Saturday. Ryan posted an unimpressive 5.69 ERA during his first three, and allowed a concerning 4 home runs in just 17.0 innings of work. The Tigers have gone over the total in each of their previous nine games, and are averaging 6.3 runs per outing while hitting a robust .306 as a team during their last seven.
These teams have gone 7-4 over the total in their eleven encounters this season, and that includes 4-1 over the number at Comerica Park. This one has all the ear marks of a high scoring game, and that’s the direction I’ll be going when making my MLB picks for Saturday. It’s 5Dimes that provides us with the best combination of a number and price to make this wager.
MLB Pick: White Sox and Tigers over 9.5 (-110) at 5Dimes.
Cubs (Roach) vs.Cardinals (Wacha) 7:15 PM ET
Donn Roach will be making his first start of the season for the Cubs on Saturday. Roach earned a promotion to the big leagues by pitching very well for AAA Iowa. In fourteen starts with Iowa, Roach went 7-1 with a stellar 2.29 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. The Cubs have gone 6-0-1 under the total in their previous seven, and have scored 2 runs or less in each of the last four games.
Michael Wacha has pitched very well for the Cardinals in 2015, going 11-3 in his team starts with a solid 2.85 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. St. Louis has gone 44-26 (62.9%) under the total this year, and that includes 23-10 (69.7%) under the number at Busch Stadium.
Both of these bullpens have performed brilliantly this season. The Cubs relievers have a collective ERA of 3.02. The Cardinals bullpen has been the best in baseball, compiling a terrific 2.11 ERA, and that includes an even better 1.82 at home. Despite the Cubs Roach making his first start of the year, I like this to be a low scoring affair. Heritage currently has the optimum price in that regard.
MLB Pick: Cubs and Cardinals under 7.5 (-105) at Heritage.