Two Diamonds in the Rough Money Line Underdogs For Tonight

Twins vs Red Sox MLB Odds

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, July 21, 2016 5:24 PM UTC

Thursday, Jul. 21, 2016 5:24 PM UTC

Our MLB betting expert shares his two best money line underdog values on Thursday night’s card, so read on and share on the profits of this game!

Twins (Duffey) vs Red Sox (Wright) 7:10 PM ET
Tyler Duffey has been exceptional over his last four starts, evidenced by a stellar 3.08 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in those outings. He can take solace in knowing, Minnesota’s bullpen has performed quite admirably during the course of their previous seven games, proven by an outstanding 2.70 ERA as a staff. The Twins will be facing a Boston team this evening which totes an exemplar win percentage of .576. You may be shocked to know, despite Minnesota’s dismal record in 2016, they’re 6-1 on the road this season against opposing teams with a win percentage of .540 to .620.

Steven Wright was off to a terrific start the year, and subsequently earned him a trip to the 2016 All-Star Game. However, he’s hit a bit of a wall in recent outings. Wright has amassed a lofty 6.23 ERA and 1.57 WHIP over his last four starts.

This underdog MLB pick may seem like a stretch to many, and especially in light of the record disparity between these teams. However, I deem it to be a well thought out calculated risk. Current betting MLB odds at SportsInteraction and GTbets provides me a best money line price for this wager.

Free MLB Pick: Twins +190
Best Line Offered:
   at GTbets

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2993793, "sportsbooksIds":[1602,227,999996,238,186], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]


Rays (Moore) vs A’s (Gray) 10:05 PM ET
Matt Moore was off to a very shaky start to the 2016 campaign. Nonetheless, he’s turned things around of late, and pitched true to the form we’re used to seeing from him. The southpaw hurler has collected a very good 2.00 ERA and 1.07 WHIP through his last four starts. Tampa Bay’s bullpen has been superb throughout their previous seven games, proven by a 1.96 ERA and 1.03 WHIP as a staff.

Since 2015, Oakland hasn’t fared well against southpaw starting pitchers, going an awful 26-46 (.361). Oakland is also a dreadful 13-21 this season when installed as -100 to -150 on the money line. The A’s fall into that exact money line parameter pertaining to tonight’s game. Sonny Gray will be on the mound for Oakland on Thursday, and the promising right-hander has really struggled this year, verified by a sizable 5.12 ERA in 17 starts, and Oakland went 6-11 during those games.

Tampa Bay is coming off yesterday’s decisive 11-3 win over Colorado. Despite that offensive onslaught, the Rays have a bleak .302 OBP this year. The combination of this data qualifies for a very profitable MLB money line betting algorithm, and that’ll be an extra bonus for a MLB pick I already intended to use anyway.

Any American League team (Rays) coming off a win by 8 runs or more in its previous game, and has an OBP of .310 or worse, resulted in those teams going 64-34 (65.3%) since 2012, and that includes 8-4 this season. The average money line on the MLB odds for those 98 games was +105.7.

Free MLB Pick:  Rays +112
Best Line Offered:  at TheGreek

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2993486, "sportsbooksIds":[1602,227,999996,238,186], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

comment here