Two Calculated Ways to Beat the MLB Odds in Royals vs. Yankees

Darin Zank

Monday, May 25, 2015 1:02 PM UTC

Monday, May. 25, 2015 1:02 PM UTC

We share money line and totals MLB picks for tonight's battle in NY, as the AL Central-leading Kansas City (28-15) meets slumping New York (22-22) in the opener of a three-game series.

The Betting
In the early betting the Yanks and starter Nathan Eovaldi were favored by around -125 over the Royals and Jeremy Guthrie, with a total of 8.5.


The Situation
Underdogs in MLB odds, KC just had a five-game winning streak snapped Sunday in a 6-1 loss to St. Louis. Nonetheless, the Royals are 5-0-1 in their last six series, and 12-6 in their 18 games.

New York, meanwhile, has lost six in a row, after getting swept at home by Texas over the weekend. The Yanks have lost four series in a row, and 10 of their last 11 games.

The Pinstripes are also missing lead-off man Jacoby Ellsbury (.412 OBP), who's on the DL with a bad knee, and both C Brian McCann and OF Carlos Beltran are questionable for Monday with various ailments.


On the Hill
Eovaldi (3-1, 4.73) was going along alright this season, with his ERA down at 3.81, but over his last two starts he's been touched for nine runs on 13 hits over 11 2/3 innings; New York lost both those games.

Guthrie (4-2, 4.75), on the other hand, started slowly this season, but has been great as of late, permitting just four runs over his last three starts, covering 18 1/3 innings; KC won all three of those starts.


Season Series
This is the second meeting between these teams this season; two weeks ago Kansas City took two of three games from New York at Kauffman Stadium, with two of those games playing UNDER.


Free MLB Pick
These two teams, and the starting pitchers, are headed in different directions at the moment. The value MLB pick on today's line resides with Kansas City. Also, games played at the Stadium this season have tilted toward the OVERS by a 10-6-3 margin, averaging almost 10 runs per. So we're thinking OVER.

MLB  Picks: Royals +116 at Pinnacle and OVER 8.5 runs at Wagerweb

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