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Juan Soto of the New York Yankees celebrates with Giancarlo Stanton after hitting a home run in the first inning at Oracle Park as we look at our Twins vs. Yankees player props.
Juan Soto of the New York Yankees celebrates with Giancarlo Stanton after hitting a home run in the first inning at Oracle Park. Photo by Brandon Vallance/Getty Images/AFP.

Two AL playoff contenders clash in New York on TBS Tuesday night, and we're breaking down the matchup with our Twins vs. Yankees player props based on the best MLB odds.

The Minnesota Twins have historically faced playoff heartbreak against the New York Yankees, who boast a 16-2 postseason record against their AL Central rivals.

The two teams could be on an early playoff collision course in 2024. They meet on Tuesday in New York for the next chapter of their rivalry, with first pitch set for 7:05 p.m. ET on TBS.

The Yankees, with a 42-19 record tied for the MLB lead, have been dominant, winning five straight and holding the league's best run differential at plus-107.

Meanwhile, the Twins have rebounded from a mid-May slump, winning nine of their last 12 games. They currently sit ninth in the World Series odds, while the Yankees are second.

To complement our MLB player props for Tuesday, here are our best Twins vs. Yankees player props and MLB picks (odds via our best MLB betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Twins vs. Yankees player props

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Twins vs. Yankees expert picks

Luis Gil Under 7.5 strikeouts ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Facing Luis Gil hasn't been a fun time for anyone recently, as he's posting a 1.99 ERA, good for sixth in MLB.

His flamethrowing ways have also led to plenty of punchouts. Gil ranks 11th leaguewide with 79 strikeouts thus far, and he's posted the fifth-best K/9 at 11.2.

However, all of that has led to a strikeout total for his outings from our best sportsbooks that keeps climbing and a bar that's eventually tough to soar above.

That's the case on Tuesday, with Gil's strikeout total sitting at 7.5 across the board. The number is no doubt a product of his recent strikeout surge, with a triple-take inducing 14 strikeouts on May 18 against the Chicago White Sox the highlight over his last three outings. That run has also included appearances with eight and nine strikeouts.

But the White Sox are a hapless hitting group, and one of those matchups was against the Seattle Mariners, who strike out as though its their sole purpose, leading MLB in that category. Meanwhile, the Twins sit a more mid-pack 18th.

Two projection models are forecasting a strikeout total around 6.5 for Gil on Tuesday, including NumberFire at a low of 6.2. That gives us plenty of cushion with this high 7.5 total.

Even better, BetMGM is providing far more value than the rest of our best sports betting sites. That book sits at -139 for the Under, which would payout $17.20 on a $10 wager, with 58.1% implied odds. The same total is around -160 elsewhere, with Caesars as short as -189.

Best odds: -139 via BetMGM

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Juan Soto Over 1.5 total bases ⭐⭐⭐⭐

There's a choreography of sorts to the Juan Soto existence. Shuffle, slam, repeat.

It's simple, yet highly effective, and has resulted in him immediately and predictably becoming a lynchpin in a daunting offense. He's fresh off being named the AL Player of the Week, and the outfielder leads our MLB MVP odds in the AL.

Soto has been sizzling overall while sitting second in MLB with a 1.031 OPS and tied for fourth with 17 home runs. But he's been white-hot lately and on a seven-game hitting streak, a stretch that's featured six extra-base hits, including three dingers and two triples.

Now he gets to stare down Bailey Ober. The Twins starter has been pedestrian with his 4.89 ERA, but a heavy reliance on his four-seam fastball is especially concerning for him against Soto. Bailey throws that nearly 39.1% of the time, and it's a pitch Soto is clobbering routinely in 2024 while recording an .850 slugging percentage and 64.6% hard-hit percentage, all according to Baseball Savant.

Given that matchup, the plus odds on Soto to record Over 1.5 total bases are highly appealing. He's listed at -105 at FanDuel, but these +110 odds at DraftKings could lead to a $21 payout on a $10 wager, with implied odds of 47.6%

Best odds: +110 via DraftKings

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Byron Buxton Under 0.5 hits ⭐⭐⭐

Injuries keep robbing Byron Buxton of the chance to perform at his peak for a prolonged period. The physical strain of knee issues seems to be especially glaring in 2024, leading to a sizable drop in several key categories.

He's been showing exceedingly little power with an OPS of .671, which has decreased from an already concerning .731 in 2023. And although his batting average is woeful yet better than in 2023 (going from .207 to .232), the reality of regression looms large, as Buxton's expected batting average is a mere .210. His nightly unpleasant walks back to the dugout are contributing a lot, as Buxton has struck out in 31.3% of his plate appearances in 2024, putting him in the bottom 7% of MLB, according to Baseball Savant.

Now a once-promising talent who's notched just three hits across his last 25 at-bats gets to face Gil, who gave up two or fewer hits during four of his six outings in May.

Be sure to grab the even-money odds available at some of our best live betting sites, as FanDuel is far shorter at -125. A $10 wager at +100 odds would result in a $20 payout, with an implied probability of 50%.

Best odds: +100 via bet365

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Twins vs. Yankees game info & odds

  • When: Tuesday, June 4
  • First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET
  • Where: Yankee Stadium, New York
  • How to watch: TBS
  • Favorite: Yankees (-182 via Betway)

Twins-Yankees player props made Tuesday at 9:40 a.m. ET.

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