Twins vs. Blue Jays MLB Picks: Play Run Line for Max Payout

Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, August 6, 2015 1:20 PM UTC

Thursday, Aug. 6, 2015 1:20 PM UTC

As the Minnesota Twins conclude their 4-game set at Toronto, looking to avoid the sweep, we are excited to play the run line odds available, as Blue Jays will surely win tonight.

Minnesota Twins (Gibson) at Toronto Blue Jays (Buehrle) (-1 ½ R/+125) 7:05 ET
Minnesota Twins conclude their 4-game set at Toronto, looking to avoid the sweep.  Game time is 7:05 ET.  In winning the first 3 games of this series by combined scores of 17-9, Toronto has pulled to within 4 ½ games of NYY, as well as taking the Wild Card lead from Minnesota by 2 games.  The Twins are now 9 ½ games behind KC for the division lead.  We are playing with house money by using Toronto on the run line tonight, having selected them each the last 2 nights.  In a game featuring two teams clearly headed opposite directions, we again back the Blue Jays on the run line tonight.  

The Minnesota slide has now reached 22-31, 4-13 more recently and 1-7 on the road.  After their 26-12 run in late April and May, they are now playing to preseason projections and like the team who has been a perennial loser in recent seasons.  Tonight’s starter, Gibson, had a solid first half run.  But since the All Star break, in 3 starts, Gibson has worked 17 1/3 IP allowing 14 runs. He does not figure to be able to control the torrid bats of the Blue Jays.  

At the trade deadline, Toronto added one of the best hitters in the game in Troy Tulowitzki, as well as pitching ace, David Price.  It was just the shot in the arm that Toronto needed to reverse a 10-16 slide that had dropped them to below .500 and playing with little confidence.  All that has reversed as the Blue Jays are on a recent 7-1 run and winners of 4 straight.  The big bats keep booming, witness 31 HR in their previous 18 games.  Toronto continues to lead MLB in OPS, resulting in over 5 RPG.  Tonight, they send Mark Buehrle to the mound with a record of 11-5 and a 3.32 ERA. Buehrle has been quite solid from this mound, where in 9 starts, he is 5-1 with a 3.09 ERA and a 1.10 PLAY ON home WHIP.   With the recent winning streak, Toronto has now boosted their home record to 35-21. 

 With the Twins’ recent 1-7 road record, dropping them to 20-31 away, it sets up a huge Home/Away dichotomy in favor of Toronto.  The starting Pitcher is in our favor as well, so we must consider Toronto to be the momentum play in this.  Run line players will note that over 81% of Toronto’s victories this year have come by 2 or more runs.

MLB Picks: Take Toronto Blue Jays (Buehrle) -1.5 +140 at Pinnacle

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