Twins a Lock as Angels Hitters Look Weak Against Gibson

Jason Lake

Tuesday, July 21, 2015 12:10 PM GMT

The Los Angeles Angels had an unscheduled doubleheader on Monday. How will that affect the MLB odds for Tuesday's scheduled matchup with the Minnesota Twins?

Jason's 2015 record as of July 20: 34-25, plus-9.41 units ML; 0-3, minus-3.30 units Tota

 

Remember that big Sunday Night Baseball game between the Los Angeles Angels and the Boston Red Sox? Yeah, it got postponed. Apparently it does rain in L.A. every 20 years or so – that was the last time the Angels got rained out at home. We had the UNDER in Sunday's game; it eventually got played on Monday as part of a day-night doubleheader, with the Angels (–113) winning 11-1, but carryovers don't count for betting purposes.

The Angels still had to play that doubleheader, though. And while they won the second game 7-3 as –155 favorites, all that baseball has to affect the Halos as they prepare for Tuesday's regularly-scheduled contest against the Minnesota Twins. As we go to press, L.A. is once again favored at –155, with Matt Shoemaker (4.62 FIP) due to take the mound against Kyle Gibson (4.00 FIP). Interesting. First pitch is at 10:05 p.m. Eastern.

 

Shoe-Fly Pie
If it seems a bit odd that the Halos are this chalky with the back end of their rotation coming up, don't be alarmed – L.A. just swept the Red Sox in four straight to improve to 15-3 since late June. Shoemaker was responsible for one of those wins; otherwise, he's not doing anything special, dropping 0.66 betting units on a team record of 8-8. Shoemaker is giving up 1.68 home runs per nine innings, up from 0.93 last year when he finished second to Jose Abreu in the AL Rookie of the Year race.

 

Gibby Bytes
Gibson is having a bit more success in his second full season in the bigs. He's been especially good in recent weeks, allowing just four runs in his last four starts combined. The Twins are 10-8 with Gibson on the mound for a profit of 3.72 units; the UNDER is 10-6-2 in those 18 starts, with Minnesota providing Gibson just 3.83 runs of support per game, down from 4.25 runs on the season. A little help here?

 

Fantasy Corner
Shoemaker has only faced the Twins once before, getting touched for three runs in four innings before getting the hook in last September's 7-6 victory. Current Halos hitters have a combined .755 OPS against Gibson, which isn't bad, but not potent enough to steer us away from Minnesota's batting order. You know what that means: 3B Trevor Plouffe (.776 OPS). He's somehow owned in just 36% of Yahoo leagues at press time. Go get him – Plouffe has a .797 OPS against right-handers, and a .877 OPS overall in July.

As for our MLB picks, the Angels needed four relievers to get through their Monday doubleheader, and the team as a whole could be vulnerable after having its schedule disrupted. We'll throw our money behind Minnesota instead.

Free MLB Pick: Take the Twins +149 at Island Casino