Trust Arrieta & Bet Cubs Run-Line +135 Over Struggling Giants

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, August 9, 2015 12:18 PM GMT

Sunday, Aug. 9, 2015 12:18 PM GMT

We’re going to examine Sunday’s National League game between the Giants and Cubs as it offers nice value in Sunday's baseball betting slate. Can the Cubbies sweep the defending world champions? 

Giants Look to Avoid Being Swept at Wrigley Field
The Cubs and Giants will play in their finale of a four game series on Sunday. The first pitch at Wrigley Field in Chicago is slated for 2:20 PM ET. Chicago has won the first three of this series, and all of those games went over the total.

 

Starting Pitchers
Jake Peavy has looked very good over his previous three starts, evidenced by stellar 2.00 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, and San Francisco was 3-0 during those outings. Peavy has made three starts in day games this season, posting a solid 2.65 ERA and 1.06 WHIP.  The veteran right-hander made two starts against the Cubs in 2014 and had a 2.76 ERA. This will be his first start against the Cubs in 2015.

It would be difficult to pitch much better than Jake Arrieta has over his last nine starts. Arrieta has a magnificent 1.37 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, and the Cubs went 7-2 during those outings. He allowed more than 2 earned runs just once during that stretch.

 

Giants Attempt to Stop the Bleeding
The Giants seemed to have their 2014 world championship form back in order, going on a 12-1 tear between 7/10 and 7/27. However, since that torrid streak they’ve gone 3-6 over their last nine games. In regards to San Francisco’s playoff positioning, they now find themselves on the outside looking in. On the positive side of things, there’s still a lot of baseball left to be played. San Francisco still has 52 regular season games remaining, and that includes hosting the Cubs in a three game set beginning on 8/25. The Giants can hang their hats on the fact they’ve scored 6 runs or more in five of their previous eight games.

 

Cubbies are in Fire
The Cubs haven’t only won each of the first three games in this series they’re also 8-1 over their previous nine. During the last five they’ve averaged 6.0 runs and 10.6 hits per game. Chicago entered this series trailing San Francisco by half of a game for the final National League wild card spot. Since that time they’ve catapulted themselves to a 2.5 game lead over the Giants heading into Sunday’s action.

 

Final Analysis
The Cubs are playing lights-out baseball right now, have a red-hot starting pitcher (Arrietta) for today’s game, and their bats have finally come alive after being silent for the majority of 2015. I like the Cubs to win this game in a decisive manner, and one of my MLB picks on Sunday will reflect that prediction. At the time of this writing, there was no run-line posted for this game at any of the major sportsbooks.

MLB Picks: Play the Cubs -1.2 +136 at Pinnacle

comment here