Trio of Tasty Totals for your Sunday MLB Betting

MLB Picks for Thursday

Doug Upstone

Sunday, August 6, 2017 3:04 AM GMT

Sunday, Aug. 6, 2017 3:04 AM GMT

Coming off a 2-1 Friday, looking forward to today's baseball card. Frankly, I believe there are total plays all over the place in the 15 parks and decided to take what I consider the three best.

The action will start at 1:10 EST sharp for this trio of MLB picks, unless we have some wet weather in northern Ohio and are last selection will be on the left coast, with two rivals known for scoring quite a few runs against each other.

Solid Pitching Matchup Near the Shores of Lake Erie

The New York Yankees had hopes Luis Severino could turn into a full time starter in 2017 and he has not disappointed. With an electric fastball and ever-improving breaking pitches, the Yanks right-hander is 8-4 with a 2.98 ERA and in his last three trips to toe the rubber, he has a superlative 0.42 ERA. Severino will square-off against Carlos Carrasco, who only lasted 1 2/3 innings in permitting five runs in loss at Boston. Otherwise, Carrasco has been delivering quality starts all season. With these two hurlers; with two fine bullpens and New York 11-3 UNDER versus winning teams in the second half and Cleveland 17-3 UNDER against AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs a game since last year (both trends as of Aug. 5th), I will take the UNDER 8.

Doug's Diagnosis - Play Under

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Padres and Pirates Post Potent Offensive Display

While I do not expect either starting pitcher to be as bad as they have been as of late, impossible not to think they will turn around 180 degrees immediately. San Diego will send out Clayton Richard (5.40 ERA) and he's been batted around like a piñata, with a 9.68 ERA in his past three outings. As bad as that sounds, Pittsburgh's Jameson Taillon (4.74) has been A LOT worse in the same timeframe with an earned run average of 14.25 (gulp). Though both clubs have Under tendencies, I will gladly go OVER the 8.5 MLB odds set by the oddsmakers.

Doug's Diagnosis - Play Over at Heritage

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History Supports Higher Score In A's v. Angels Tilt

The Big A in Anaheim has for a long time been known to favor lower scoring games. Though Anaheim is quite a ways inland from the Pacific Ocean, the nightly heavier air keeps enough fly balls in the park. Yet in the last three seasons when rival Oakland comes to town, the game could be played in a dense fog (OK a slight exaggeration) and these two clubs would still score runs. No doubt the pitching staffs for both teams have not been great and this the key rationale behind them having 17-6-1 OVER record. Today, a scuffling Sal Manaea (5.17 ERA, L3G) is opposed by a seemingly always scuffling Rick Nolasco (5.40 ERA, L3G). With the A's a +130 underdog and the total at 9, Manaea is 11-3 OVER in that role this campaign.

Doug's Diagnosis - Play Over at 5Dimes

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