Trends to Pay Attention for Red Sox vs. Cardinals MLB Pick

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, August 5, 2014 12:25 PM UTC

Tuesday, Aug. 5, 2014 12:25 PM UTC

The Boston Red Sox and St. Louis Cardinals have failed to live up to expectations offensively this season, which will lead to a low-scoring affair Tuesday night at Busch Stadium.


Falling Deeper into the Abyss
Boston won’t get an opportunity to defend its World Series title, as it opens up this series 14 games back of the Toronto Blue Jays in the American League East standings, which has been caused by a minus-57 run differential.

The Red Sox have dropped 10 of their last 12 contests, while they rank 25th in the Majors in scoring just 427 runs.

MLB handicappers will want to keep a close eye on the betting odds, considering the squad is 2-9 as road underdogs of +125 to +150 during the 2014 campaign, with the 'under' going 5-4-2 in that situation.


The Holliday Season
St. Louis has split its last 10 trips to the ballpark, but outfielder Matt Holliday is primed to lead a charge in the National League Central standings, as the proud franchise sits just a game back of the Milwaukee Brewers.

Holliday has six home runs and 13 RBIs since the All-Star break, which mirrors his production of hitting a NL-best .348 with nine round trippers and 47 RBIs in 58 games after the Midsummer Classic a year ago.

It’s still important to point out that the Cardinals rank 29th in all of baseball in runs scored, which is far different than their third-place finish in that statistical category in 2013.


De La Rosa
Red Sox starting pitcher Rubby De La Rosa (3-4, 3.64 ERA) will look to bounce back from dropping back-to-back efforts against the Toronto Blue Jays, as he allowed a combined 10 runs (nine earned) and 18 hits in 10 combined innings over that span.

The right-hander is 0-3 with a 6.04 ERA in four road outings, but each of those trips to the mound took place against a high-powered offense (Blue Jays, Athletics, Orioles, Tigers).

De La Rosa has compiled a 4-3 record and 3.83 ERA in eight career starts versus NL opponents, as he prepare to face the Cardinals for the first time.


Cardinals starting pitcher Lance Lynn (11-8, 2.98 ERA) has suffered back-to-back losses despite giving up only four runs (two earned) and 10 hits over 12.1 combined frames over that span, as the offense provided just a single run of support.

The right-hander is 7-3 with a 2.72 ERA in 12 home games—surrendering just a single home run in 76 innings.

Lynn has produced a 1-2 record and 1.33 ERA in three appearances versus AL opponents this season.

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I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their MLB picks, as the Cardinals have fallen short of the number in Lynn’s last five starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.

Free MLB Pick: Bet 'under' at Bet365 sportbook

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