Trends Favor The Underrated Pitcher - Add Cubs' Moneyline Over Cardinals To Your MLB Picks

Kevin Stott

Monday, September 12, 2016 2:59 PM UTC

Monday, Sep. 12, 2016 2:59 PM UTC’s nearly impossible to make a case for the St. Louis Cardinals here in Game 1 of their 3-game NL Central series on Monday night, even if the game means more the Wild Card spot-chasing hosts. Let’s toss it all in the blender and see what kind of Side pick we have for this showdown for our loyal MLB readers.



Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals
The NL Central-leading Chicago Cubs and RHP Kyle Hendricks (14-7) face the St. Louis Cardinals and RHP Mike Leake (9-9) at Busch Stadium in St. Louis on Monday night in Game 1 of a huge series for the host Cardinals (75-66) who are fighting with the San Francisco Giants (76-65), New York Mets (75-67), Miami Marlins (70-72) and Pittsburgh Pirates (69-71) for the two Wild Card spots in the Senior Circuit.

On Sunday afternoon, Offshore oddsmakers opened up the Cubs as solid -143 Road favorites at BetOnline —St. Louis is currently priced as +133 Underdogs—in this Game 1 of this heated rivalry with the Total (Runs) set at 8 Over -115 at BetOnline. The Run Line odds sees the Cubs -1½ +115 with the host Redbirds +1½ priced at -135 at Sports Betting. In Game 2 on Tuesday (8:15 p.m. EDT/5:15 p.m. PDT), Chicago is scheduled to send RHP Jason Hammel (14-8) to the bump with Jaime García (10-12) slated to go for St. Louis while in the series finale and Game 3 on Wednesday (1:45 p.m. EDT/10:45 a.m. PDT), the Cubs are scheduled to send RHP Mike Montgomery (4-5) to the mound against the Cardinals LHP Carlos Martínez (14-7).


Chicago Cubs
The Chicago Cubs (+260 to win World Series in MLB Futures market at 5Dimes) and Manager Joe Maddon head into the first game of this series in St. Louis with the best overall Record in MLB (90-51) and have an epic RF-RA mark (700 RF-478 RA, +222 RD) and Chicago (+135 to win NL at5Dimes) is the only team in MLB which has scored 700 Runs or more while the Cubs are also the only team which hasn’t allowed 500 Runs yet. So whether or not this franchise finally breaks that century-plus World Series drought remains to be seen, but few teams have put together the kind of statistical season the Cubs (6-4 L10 into Sunday night) have and we’re still only in early September. On Saturday in Game 2 of a 3-game series in Houston, Manager Maddon and the Cubs (39-31 on Road) put out a Starting Lineup of: CF Dexter Fowler, 3B Kris Bryant, 1B Anthony Rizzo, LF Jorge Soler, DH Miguel Montero, C Wilson Contreras, RF Javier Báez, 2B Tommy La Stella with John Lackey getting the Start and pitching a gem but being out-dueled by the Astros Collin McHugh who combined with three other Houston Pitchers to hold Chicago to 2 Hits in a 2-1 Win as Houston fought its own Wild Card spot over in the Junior Circuit. Cubs Righty Jake Arrieta got the pill in the nationally televised primetime Game 3 and rubber game on Sunday night (ESPN, 8 p.m. EDT/5 p.m. PDT; CUBS -133, 5Dimes). The Cubs (627 RF-412 RA, +215 RD) for the Cubs who had scored just 11 Runs in their L5 games heading in (CUBS 5-12 MIL, CUBS 1-2 MIL 2, CUBS 2-0, CUBS 2-0 HOU, CUBS 1-2 HOU).


St. Louis Cardinals
The St. Louis Cardinals are now priced at 35/1 to win World Series at GTBets—a Sportsbook with a B+ rating from Sportsbook Review which is now offering a 100% Cash Sign-Up Bonus (up to $250)—and Manager Mike Matheny and the Cardinals (18/1 to win NL at 5Dimes) put out a starting lineup in Game 4 in their 4-game series against the Brewers of: 3B Matt Carpenter, 2B Kolten Wong, RF Stephen Piscotty, LF Brandon Moss, C Yadier Molina, SS Jedd Gyorko, 3B Jhonny Peralta and CF Randal Grichuk with veteran RHP Adam Wainwright getting the start for the hosts. Before the game, St. Louis (5-2 L7 against Cubs) activated SS Aledmys Díaz (Right Thumb Fracture) from the DL. The Cardinals (696 RF-618 RA) have always been dominating at Home (32-38 at Home) with extremely impressive Regular Season Records at Busch Stadium the L3 years (55-26 in 2015, 51-30 in 2014, 54-27 in 2013), but 2016 has been a completely different animal for this club so used to having a huge Home-field advantage and these Cubs (5-2 L7 at St. Louis, 22-5 L27 against Team with Losing Home Record) have exploited that to their advantage and made Busch Stadium a place they suddenly don’t mind playing in. The times may have changed.


Pitchers Report Card
RHP Kyle Hendricks (14-7, 2.07 ERA, 145 K’s, 0.99 WHIP) heads in here on Monday with the best ERA in MLB (2.07) and the Cubs Pitcher has now allowed 3 ER or less in his L19 starts dating back to May 22—the longest such streak by any Pitcher this season. So it may actually be time to learn his name? But 26-year-old Hendricks is 0-1 in 2 Starts versus the pesky Cardinals this season. Lifetime against Hendricks—an Ivy League grad (Dartmouth)—Carpenter (.375), Molina (.364) and Moss (.333) have all done well against one of the most underrated players in all of MLB while Grichuk (125), Gyorko (.166) and Wong (.273) haven’t fared as well. And RHP Mike Leake (9-9, 4.61 ERA, 111 K’s, 1.30 WHIP) has been absolutely ripped by young Cubs sluggers Bryant (.429) and Rizzo (.343) in enough ABs that it matters (49) while SS Addison Russell, Soler and Fowler (.350) haven’t had much success against Cardinals Starter.


St. Louis Weather Forecast, Trends & Who Seems To Have Logical Edge Here Monday
The Weather Channel forecast for St. Louis (Busch Stadium) for Monday night is currently calling for Mostly Clear Skies, a Low of 61° with light and variable SSE Winds around 5 mph, so, maybe a little chilly for St. Louis for still Summer on your calendar for those of us dwelling in the Northern Hemisphere. Some powerful Cubs Trends on top of Hendricks’ impressive numbers to date: Chicago is 21-7 its L28 Monday games, 25-6 its L31 vs. an RHP Starter, 51-18 its L69 Game 1’s of a series and 38-16 overall in both its L54 overall and on Grass (Busch Stadium). The Cubs are also 5-1 in Hendricks’ L6 Starts against a Team With a Winning Record, 49-19 their L68 against the NL Central but just 3-11 in their L14 on the Road against a Team With a Winning Record. St. Louis is 11-5 in its L16 Game 1’s of a series, 4-0 in its L4 Monday games but just 1-5 in the L6 Leake Starts at Home in The Gateway City where it rains Budweiser.

And some Totals Trends for your consumption: The Over is 11-5 the L16 Hendricks Starts against a Team With a Winning Record, the Over is 21-9-3 in the L33 meetings in this series here in steamy St. Louis (70%). The Over is 5-2 in Hendricks L7 Road Starts, the Over is 4-0 in the L4 Hendricks Road Starts as well as 4-0 the L4 Hendricks Starts against these rival Redbirds. Edge Cubs. And the Under is 8-3 in the L11 Game 1’s started by Hendricks and the Under is also 5-0 in the L5 Cubs games against teams with a Winning Record heading into Sunday’s finale with Houston, now an AL team. With Bonanza High School native (Las Vegas) Bryant, the Cubs 5-2 in their L7 meetings in this series and Hendricks getting the pill, the logical MLB Pick here, supported by the Trends, is on the visitors from the Windy City—the current lowest price at Offshore sportsbooks on Chicago is -135 at GTBets—who not only easily have the best Record and RD in MLB, but may be the start of an historic run behind on of the most brilliant minds (Maddon) in Baseball. Maybe this is finally the year.


Predicted Final Score: Cubs 4 Cardinals 3
MLB Monday Pick: Cubs -135 at GTBets
MLB Regular Season Picks Record: 25-27-3

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