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Top MLB Trend Plays for Wednesday: Verlander Piles Up Ks vs. Rangers

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Top MLB Trend Plays for Wednesday: Verlander Piles Up Ks vs. Rangers
Justin Verlander #35 of the Houston Astros pitches in the first inning against the Seattle Mariners at Minute Maid Park on July 29. Photo by Bob Levey / Getty Images via AFP

Whether it be winning streaks, losing streaks, hitting streaks, a batter’s success against the day’s pitcher, or anything of the like, we’ve identified the best MLB trend plays for Tuesday.

After hitting a big underdog in our trend plays for Tuesday, I’m going to target another one here against a menacing opponent. I’m also seeing value in a total which could easily be two full runs higher given the pitching matchup and a player prop that has been cashing a lot lately.

Here are our top MLB trend plays for Wednesday (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, Bet365, Pointsbet).

Top MLB Trend Plays

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Top MLB Trend Predictions

Rockies-Cardinals Over 12 (-120)

Let’s go back to the well here with the Colorado Rockies and St. Louis Cardinals, only this time I’m not going to nibble on the plus money with the home team. I’m targeting the total.

In his career at Coors Field, Jose Quintana owns a 5.93 ERA. At home this season in the same park, Kyle Freeland has pitched to a 5.55 ERA. Both men are not to be trusted in this park, particularly when you look at the state of both offenses.

Colorado is top 10 in wRC+ over the last two weeks and owns a 102 wRC+ against lefties this season to grade out as above-average. St. Louis is second in that category and is on an absolute tear at the plate at the moment. We should see plenty of runs.

Verlander Over 7.5 strikeouts (-112)

I hesitate to give this one out given that Justin Verlander hasn’t struck out more than five hitters in his last two starts, but given further context, this seems like a short number.

Verlander struck out eight batters in each of his two starts against the Texas Rangers this season, and he has hit eight in seven of his 20 starts. With that said, three of them have come in the last five for the righty.

On top of this, the Rangers have been having nightmarish plate appearances. They’re striking out at a very high 25.5% clip in the last two weeks, which is the sixth-highest mark in the game right now. They’re ninth for the season, which makes this look like less of a fluke and more of a trend.

Twins ML (+145)

Minnesota is 5-3 this year when Sonny Gray toes the slab after a Twins loss. They are 32-19 overall following a loss – regardless of the pitcher – which is good for a 9.14-unit profit.

It’s not just the record that makes this an intriguing value play, it’s the matchup. Ryan Pepiot hasn’t exactly been dominant for the Dodgers in his 16 1.3 innings at the big-league level, and his extremely high fly-ball rate in a limited sample should spell trouble against a Twins team ranked 13th in fly balls and eighth in home-run-to-fly-ball ratio.

Gray has been solid in his own right with a 3.19 ERA and decent strikeout and walk numbers. L.A. is on a heater right now, but this pitching matchup should really favor the visitors.

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MLB trend picks made on 8/10/2022 at 1:57 p.m. ET.