Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Indians ALCS Predictions - Tribe's Momentum Continues

Indians, Blue Jays lead MLB series 2-0

Charles Stark

Friday, October 14, 2016 3:28 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 14, 2016 3:28 PM UTC

The Cleveland Indians surprised a lot of people by sweeping the Boston Red Sox and today they try to get one game closer to the World Series taking on the Toronto Blue Jays for the American League pennant. Currently, oddsmakers have Cleveland as a decent home favorite but is there value in backing the surging Toronto Blue Jays for your baseball pick?


MLB playoff record: 3-4-1

Toronto Blue Jays

Marco Estrada gets the start for Toronto and comes in with a 3.48 ERA and 1.12 whip on the season while allowing just one earned run in his only postseason appearance versus Texas. Estrada was fantastic versus the Rangers allowing that one earned run off of just four hits in just over eight innings of work, as well he's been extremely good since late August. Since a start at Baltimore on August 29 in his last eight starts, he is allowed just 16 earned runs and only got knocked around a bit in a rough stretch he had versus Tampa Bay twice and Boston. In his other five starts, he was outstanding allowing just one run or less and his overall road numbers on the season are solid. However, in his one start versus Cleveland, he did allow three earned runs in just five innings. At the plate, Toronto has been knocking the cover off the ball coming into this contest with an OPS of .863 in their four games versus Texas.

  2016 World Series Winner Odds, Start Shopping & Comparing Them At SBR  Cleveland Indians

Corey Kluber gets the start in game one for Cleveland and comes in with a 3.14 ERA and 1.06 whip while allowing zero earned runs in seven innings versus Boston in his only postseason start. Kluber was lights out in that 6-0 win and he has great numbers on the season at home. He is just not the type of pitcher that is going to come in and get shelled as since the All-Star break in 15 starts at most he has allowed four earned runs in any of those starts in which he did just twice. Even more eye-popping than that is the fact that most hits he has allowed in any start since the All-Star break is just seven which happened just once. The X factor for me, despite the fact Toronto hit well in Texas, are the home and away disparities between these two offenses. You can kind of throw those statistics out the window but we are talking about a Toronto team whose OPS drops from .786 down to .731 on the road, compared to Cleveland who has a .828 OPS at home ranking them third in the major leagues.


MLB odds

Oddsmakers currently have Cleveland at a -130 or more favorite at home across the board at most SBR's rated sportsbooks. This is not a very big price in my opinion and although I rarely take favorites for my MLB pick I'm going to take Cleveland at -132 at Bookmaker. The crowd will be rocking tonight for the Tribe.



Free MLB Pick: Cleveland -132Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker


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