Top Value In Rangers MLB Odds vs. Chalky Cubs

Sunday, July 17, 2016 2:36 PM UTC

Sunday, Jul. 17, 2016 2:36 PM UTC

The Cubs are gunning for a series sweep of the Rangers at Wrigley Field this afternoon in a game between division leaders. Let's analyze this matchup and continue to cash in our MLB picks.

"Are you kidding me?" That is exactly what I tweeted yesterday after the Boston Red Sox, getting +118 by the MLB odds makers, scored a 5-2 road victory over the New York Yankees. Yesterday I advised all who read my column to include the live road dog in their MLB picks, and voila - I did it again. It has been an amazing season that has seen us cover one game after another, capping winners at almost 70 percent. If that sounds like a highly unlikely winning percentage I assure you it is but I can also attest that it is absolutely true. If you want proof, just click my name at the top of this article and it will take you to all the write-ups I have done for SBR.

The ATM is open for business so let's keep this white hot heater going and cash a ticket in this matinee between Texas and Chicago. Also, look for my other column today which will feature my top totals for Sunday. It's all good in the 'hood, boys and girls as this money train has no plans of stopping any time soon.


Hamels Looks for Repeat at Wrigley
The date was July 25th, 2015 and Cole Hamels would pitch a no-hitter on enemy turf against the Chicago Cubs, leading to a 5-0 Philadelphia victory. He allowed no runs, surrendered no hits and struck out 13 on the day. Hamels' only hiccup proved to be a pair of walks but other than that, he was golden. Less than a week later he would be traded to the Texas Rangers after spending his entire career in the City of Brotherly Love. After almost a year, and in a different uniform, he returns to the scene of one of his greatest triumphs hoping for identical results.

Hamels comes into this one boasting a 9-2 record and a 3.21 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP. The 10-year veteran has gotten knocked around lately, averaging just over four innings of work and allowing five runs on an average of 7½ hits per game over his last two starts. However, against the Cubs he has always been the Cole Hamels whom we have grown to respect and admire. The veteran southpaw is 4-1 when starting against the Cubs with an ERA of 2.00 and a WHIP of 0.907. His team's record is 5-3 (+2.3 units) in these starts.


Betting Analysis
The Cubs have a veteran of their own on the hill who has been struggling recently, in the form of John Lackey. Over his last pair of starts Lackey has gotten hammered at almost exactly the same clip as Hamels. Lackey has allowed an average of five runs and 6½ hits per game over his last two starts after enjoying a solid season consisting of a record of 7-5 with a 3.70 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP. Lackey is 14-15 when starting against the Rangers with an ERA of 5.71 and a WHIP of 1.550. His team's record is 20-20 (-6.9 units) in these starts.

I realize that Texas has a host of injuries but Lackey does not match up well with this Rangers' lineup and I feel Hamels will be more able to work out of whatever funk he's in quicker than his opposing number today. The Rangers have a top 10 offense in terms of runs scored and team batting average. In addition, they are getting a healthy return as the public is ga-ga over the sentimental favorite Chicago Cubs.

MLB Pick: Rangers +132
Best Line Offered:  at BetOnline
MLB Record: 49-23, +26.71 units

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